TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3164…06efbacked Over48c6,300$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,02410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under52c5,803$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,785.3660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c2,642$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over53c2,567$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.8385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c2,516$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c2,200$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.934,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under53c1,798$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.031,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c1,430$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.180737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under52c1,192$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.3167252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under52c1,071$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.1933146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd403…048abacked Under54c900$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4142060%12 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5611159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c523.88$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.042,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2407153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Under53c471$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.421266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over4c419.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.163,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5037…aaa0backed Under55c411.92$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6123…c151backed Over51c399.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20460%0 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c397.58$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.893,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under54c314.81$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8126048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb146…e717backed Under54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.781464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c237.13$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.533,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfda…20c0backed Under53c226.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c215.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.94,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.951,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over49c198$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.031,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1922447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under78c182.38$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under53c165.6$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.381,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over47c156.26$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.231,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e5…b098backed Over47c132.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.485457.4%31 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Over17c130.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8714636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c120.55$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.223,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under54c116.05$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3841947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under54c111.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4619054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9935849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under53c94.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6128536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over42c91.93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.491,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under54c90.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8214053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over33c85.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.171,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c80.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.621,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59c3…48e8backed Under53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.65964.4%38 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under49c64.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4927251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c60.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over49c56.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.621,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c53.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over47c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9153839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c51.37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.412,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e2…cca2backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Under53c47.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.597152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c42.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.373,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d08…9e8dbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Under62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.416150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d81…c006backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+57.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49c7…3e1dbacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under53c33.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9654854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over50c33.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over48c32.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.851,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over48c32.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4112552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over54c29.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f4…48c6backed Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.313852.9%73 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under54c27.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8557650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over42c26.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1621443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over48c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4852552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under54c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6826756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over47c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3423350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Under54c21.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7531354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under57c20.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8933159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f61…ab6bbacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d7c…3e7abacked Under70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eec…89babacked Under54c18.85$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.673259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.