NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8ecde2fa2cadbfe5ea5ed391d8e34a1d6921da46b2da4e3e114d0c5fbdfc3e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3164…06efbacked Over | 48c | 6,300$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 52c | 5,803$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.36 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,642$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.77 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 53c | 2,567$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.83 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 2,516$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 2,200$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 53c | 1,798$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.03 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 1,430$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.1 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 52c | 1,192$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.31 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 52c | 1,071$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.19 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…048abacked Under | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 523.88$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.04 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Under | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 4c | 419.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…aaa0backed Under | 55c | 411.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…c151backed Over | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 397.58$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.89 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.81 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…e717backed Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 237.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…20c0backed Under | 53c | 226.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 215.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 198$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 78c | 182.38$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 53c | 165.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 156.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…b098backed Over | 47c | 132.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 17c | 130.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 120.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 54c | 116.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 54c | 111.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 53c | 94.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 42c | 91.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 54c | 90.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 33c | 85.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 80.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…48e8backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 49c | 64.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 60.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 56.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 53.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 51.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…cca2backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Under | 53c | 47.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 42.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d81…c006backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c7…3e1dbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 50c | 33.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 48c | 32.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 48c | 32.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…48c6backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 54c | 27.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 42c | 26.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 54c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Under | 54c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 57c | 20.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…ab6bbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…3e7abacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked Under | 54c | 18.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Hornets vs. SunsSuns won
- Hornets vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Hornets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Under won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.