NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccf18594ae70c7ed4ed6860bd3316f739c269424bedc680c18d45aa176db4f4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,685 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 45c | 5,970$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.36 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 3,984$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 51c | 3,810$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.97 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 3,392$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.08 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 46c | 1,400$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.17 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 1,301$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 47c | 751.5$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.81 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 26c | 743.18$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.21 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 47c | 396.23$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 53c | 310$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 61c | 243.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 33c | 240.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 59c | 204.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 62c | 149$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 144.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 135.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 25c | 129.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Under | 79c | 125.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 33c | 113.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 111.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 54c | 99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 82.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…8255backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Over | 50c | 75.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…dad8backed Over | 52c | 67.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 59c | 61.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 74c | 60.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 24c | 55.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 20c | 51.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 53c | 51.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 45.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Under | 50c | 44.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…b57dbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…93ccbacked Over | 73c | 37.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff61…e560backed Under | 67c | 36.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 30.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…b15cbacked Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 48c | 26.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 63c | 21.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7f…5c3cbacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Hornets vs. SunsSuns won
- Hornets vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Hornets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.