TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf2d…e660

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
322
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT11343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.94
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$102.88
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$80.27
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$56.86
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.47
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$67.9
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.7
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.36
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$59.4
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.2
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.55
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.26
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.92
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.25
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$41.37
Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$32.64
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$29.33
Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$28.13
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 113.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$28.34
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.64
Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10728%30 W · 77 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Parma: Laslo Djere vs Chun-Hsin Tsengbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Parma: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.91
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.96
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$49.97
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.63
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$61.95
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Fonseca (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.17
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jongbacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.69
Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.73
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignonbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Billy Harrisbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landalucebacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.43
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT4531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$59.14
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$60.78
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.24
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.22
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.73
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.55
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.9
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.83
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.88
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$94.22
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$242.73
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$112.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.87
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$55.71
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.34
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)backed Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$37.03
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT3158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.45
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$30.26
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$36.82
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$30.23
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wizbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.15
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+159.9%+$47.75
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29.46
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$42.79
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.54
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.04
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.32
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.39
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$60.37
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$37.66
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.65
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$33.33
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$34.69
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Texas State Bobcats: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.69
Bellarmine Knights vs. Central Arkansas Bears: O/U 155.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.69
Baylor Bears vs. UCF Knights: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.69
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawksbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$26.38
Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-1.5)backed Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$19.91
UIC Flames vs. Drake Bulldogsbacked Drake Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$178.45
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Boise State Broncos vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Duke Blue Devils vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$40
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.