Tennis · resolved market
Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b1b1990dc5badaf30f21fa08f00e66d5209429d3e1d27460ae9956ebc97fb4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Arnaldiof Juan Manuel Cerundolo, Matteo Arnaldi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 66c | 15,108$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.52 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 11,590$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.48 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 71c | 7,067$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.26 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 6,466$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.88 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 35c | 6,098$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 30c | 5,217$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.93 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 57c | 4,246$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.4 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 31c | 3,038$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.74 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | -12.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…7d88backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 44c | 2,701$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 42c | 2,350$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.5 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 2,348$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.88 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Matteo Arnaldi | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.05 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.98 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 1,418$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.35 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 43c | 1,265$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.52 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 70c | 1,251$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.67 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 1,250$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.88 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 36c | 1,157$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.52 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…2cfdbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 1,105$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.01 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 1,080$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.08 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 40c | 1,073$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 46c | 1,070$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.7 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 999.97$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.98 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 28c | 921.08$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.59 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a4…805abacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 63c | 899.32$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 65c | 892.6$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.19 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 28c | 878.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 801.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.88 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 366 | 61.7%226 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Matteo Arnaldi | 66c | 800$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.01 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 718.9$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.41 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matteo Arnaldi | 77c | 623.01$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 572.41$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.92 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…d13abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 78c | 547.92$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 77cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 547.14$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.7 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…6be0backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 526.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 27c | 525.93$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 499.62$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.6 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…762abacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 60c | 482.26$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.36 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 100 | 70%70 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 63c | 475.29$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.38 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 408.09$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.21 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 27c | 404$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 41c | 369.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 36c | 367.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.88 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 64c | 352.86$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.83 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 41c | 341.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 76c | 341.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 331.75$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Matteo Arnaldi | 59c | 305.44$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 58c | 303.82$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 300.37$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 16c | 292.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 32c | 290.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Matteo Arnaldi | 62c | 250$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 20c | 246.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 235$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 34c | 221.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Matteo Arnaldi | 67c | 215.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 42c | 207.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 42c | 205$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 27c | 202.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 64c | 171.32$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 63c | 170.52$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 17c | 169.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 62c | 154.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 24c | 152.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Matteo Arnaldi | 61c | 142.72$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Matteo Arnaldi | 73c | 137.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 136.43$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Matteo Arnaldi | 75c | 130$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 277 | 55.6%154 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…d0f5backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 23c | 124.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Matteo Arnaldi | 65c | 119$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3923…41b4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 114.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…1114backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 62c | 114.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 63c | 114$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…d710backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 28c | 109.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 27c | 107.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 24c | 103.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 64c | 102.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.