TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd1b6…70ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
248
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT20352.2%106 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 203 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.87
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$203.44
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.12
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.14
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.39
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.69
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$331.79
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.17
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.97
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$239
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.05
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.44
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.03
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.58
Cervia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$51.08
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarrobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hamburg European Open (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Doumbia/Reboulbacked Krawietz/Puetz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$281.36
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinezbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$21.77
Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.41
Showing 25 of 203 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.6wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-52.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33%+$90.82
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.3
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Levante UD vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$64.63
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.75
Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.33
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.93
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.77
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37%+$26.26
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$90.77
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerifebacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.01
Burgos vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.15
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+87.5%+$17.51
Anadolu Efes vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$30.55
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)backed Costa Rica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$129.07
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$59.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$70.44
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$26.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$41.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.2%+$119.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$30.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.