Euroleague · resolved market
Burgos vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed532b7ef3c342b64b4021a999547ec7c570d92163461daf4c3cacbf920064b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burgosof Burgos, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,521 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Saski Baskonia | 0c | 3,684$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Burgos | 46c | 1,436$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.6 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Saski Baskonia | 67c | 824.36$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.54 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Saski Baskonia | 72c | 625.67$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saski Baskonia | 23c | 349.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Saski Baskonia | 38c | 340$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Burgos | 51c | 327.44$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…aa3fbacked Saski Baskonia | 70c | 300.16$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Burgos | 27c | 256.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +63%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Burgos | 51c | 229.6$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Burgos | 71c | 222.13$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Saski Baskonia | 68c | 217.87$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Burgos | 32c | 120.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Saski Baskonia | 47c | 106.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…6578backed Saski Baskonia | 20c | 92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Burgos | 51c | 85.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Burgos | 58c | 82.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Burgos | 32c | 81.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Burgos | 31c | 80.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Burgos | 38c | 77.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Saski Baskonia | 68c | 60.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saski Baskonia | 24c | 52.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Burgos | 42c | 50.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Burgos | 50c | 50.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Saski Baskonia | 23c | 47.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…c91dbacked Saski Baskonia | 71c | 42.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…9f3abacked Saski Baskonia | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Burgos | 30c | 34.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Saski Baskonia | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Burgos | 68c | 23.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…454bbacked Burgos | 76c | 23.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.