TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$764,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$806,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $764,028 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 451 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked No65c103,588$67,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,255.778743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes35c67,591$23,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,656.712040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5291…d4b6backed No47c63,588$29,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,974.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No67c59,999$40,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,799.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x912a…2e6abacked No64c50,237$32,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,151.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c48,016$23,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,674.732,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Yes32c33,818$10,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,821.82837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes33c26,736$8,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,822.89333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes33c25,939$8,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,566.6613839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes27c24,216$6,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,561.631926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Yes70c20,263$14,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,275.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes36c20,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,200933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes35c19,722$6,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,865.5440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No28c18,411$5,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,256.129950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes35c17,556$6,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,152.5968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No67c15,554$10,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,132.941553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed No50c14,362$7,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,180.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes40c11,790$4,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,770.541,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes35c11,103$3,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,898.4519952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Yes51c9,458$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c8,774$5,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.0998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes11c8,269$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.545459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No63c8,037$5,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,978.27248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes36c6,949$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5009650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes35c6,532$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.26567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes44c5,909$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.1634239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes34c5,144$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.526836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Yes54c5,118$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.863243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Yes52c4,145$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes34c4,021$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9827453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed Yes34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Yes37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4802231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No49c3,798$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.119149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed No66c3,788$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes60c3,764$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.273036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked No64c3,702$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes35c3,529$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.084528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No51c3,514$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.74100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+128.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No50c3,480$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74011153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes43c3,068$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.651241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42e2…d154backed Yes25c3,003$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9904663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Yes32c2,923$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No70c2,885$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.3812044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed Yes35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-65%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Yes27c2,607$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.781030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes30c2,606$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.496936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80014258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No67c2,473$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.911053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes72c2,431$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.141118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-59.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Yes36c2,373$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes33c2,332$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.5635646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes57c2,176$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e5…99f9backed Yes36c2,061$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No79c1,975$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.375967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes50c1,883$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.4322743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No67c1,860$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.936456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x268f…bbd7backed Yes36c1,825$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No67c1,784$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.856365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No57c1,667$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.649576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7272…dc9abacked No68c1,579$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No67c1,555$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.15366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed Yes30c1,522$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes56c1,497$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.197762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes35c1,486$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c1,407$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.141854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No66c1,357$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.3441954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes44c1,336$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.4941144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes30c1,273$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.92725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes34c1,212$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.093928.2%11 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.54955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No56c1,169$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.0632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Yes36c1,150$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes27c1,096$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No71c1,041$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.2422373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes34c1,041$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.6115946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.044472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x93bc…2ec2backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78a8…0753backed Yes36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaee…c167backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd25…a624backed Yes61c979.71$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbfc…b095backed Yes33c967.76$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Yes35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+60.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes30c834.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.43228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3801…7013backed No61c832.61$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No64c799.95$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9812153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No59c777.77$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.545955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No65c753.61$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.761457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No68c678.91$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.453847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No64c670.9$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.4610549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes58c654.11$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.381030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes35c628.57$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Yes36c616.67$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2223040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes30c589.83$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.951952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5358…ef07backed Yes36c544$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes55c543.45$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.91010%1 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick41cpaid-80.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcbdc…560bbacked Yes36c542.79$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.