TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x268f…bbd7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT9938.4%38 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.55
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.43
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$29.67
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$43.2
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.5
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.43
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$50.94
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$91.07
Will Eric Yonce be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.35
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.68
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.42
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.61
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.51
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$55.48
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,075.38
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$317.27
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.11
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.71
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
All 7 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-49.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$26.23
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$154.08
Bruins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$785.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.8
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,201.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$458.89
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25.1
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$514.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,393.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #2 song this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+32.6%+$14.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$669
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$762.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.