NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9506ba613f0821e78054230624ab24f29472ad4b92d8c90767179ae73716a67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Warriors, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 51c | 120,133$61,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,699.45 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 49c | 109,891$53,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,616.68 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kings | 53c | 43,946$23,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,731.62 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Warriors | 48c | 40,625$19,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,372.23 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings | 51c | 24,634$12,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,070.01 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 53c | 8,890$4,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.27 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Warriors | 46c | 7,848$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.11 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 46c | 6,627$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Kings | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Warriors | 48c | 5,718$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.38 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Kings | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Kings | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Warriors | 45c | 5,372$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.4 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Warriors | 48c | 4,800$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kings | 53c | 4,655$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.55 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kings | 54c | 3,265$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.39 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 48c | 3,249$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.73 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Warriors | 47c | 3,025$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.82 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Warriors | 47c | 3,017$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.84 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 52c | 2,993$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.09 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 47c | 2,963$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.32 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Warriors | 48c | 2,522$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.85 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Kings | 53c | 2,310$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.69 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Warriors | 49c | 2,207$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.93 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Warriors | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.6 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 52c | 2,091$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Kings | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Kings | 54c | 1,918$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.51 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kings | 55c | 1,811$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.53 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 54c | 1,592$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.95 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Warriors | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Warriors | 46c | 1,549$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.38 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Warriors | 46c | 1,548$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.15 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 35c | 1,510$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7208…66fdbacked Warriors | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Warriors | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.97 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Kings | 53c | 1,229$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.69 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Warriors | 48c | 1,212$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.76 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Warriors | 48c | 1,149$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.53 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Warriors | 48c | 1,147$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.07 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…a974backed Warriors | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Warriors | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Warriors | 47c | 999.93$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.97 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Kings | 57c | 998.43$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.14 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Kings | 53c | 922.89$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.59 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Warriors | 45c | 919.96$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.98 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Warriors | 48c | 871.52$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.83 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Warriors | 48c | 866.25$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kings | 52c | 677.42$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.43 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Warriors | 46c | 677.32$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.57 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Warriors | 48c | 672.09$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.41 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Warriors | 24c | 649.72$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.99 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Warriors | 46c | 619.44$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.13 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Kings | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 52c | 595.38$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.21 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Kings | 52c | 564.36$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.89 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kings | 53c | 550$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kings | 55c | 532.27$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.52 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Kings | 54c | 524.91$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.46 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Kings | 57c | 513.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.82 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Warriors | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Warriors | 46c | 489.39$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.57 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Warriors | 48c | 467.86$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.07 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Warriors | 44c | 465.25$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.71 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Warriors | 48c | 457.15$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.91 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Kings | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Warriors | 47c | 428.18$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Warriors | 10c | 421.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25fc…ef05backed Warriors | 48c | 403.65$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Warriors | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Warriors | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Warriors | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Kings | 52c | 382.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Warriors | 48c | 371$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.32 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Warriors | 49c | 357.03$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Kings | 54c | 341$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Warriors | 48c | 335.2$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.45 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Kings | 54c | 333.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Kings | 54c | 328.79$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.29 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…b072backed Kings | 55c | 326.25$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 47c | 312.55$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.32 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…da42backed Kings | 53c | 310.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.76 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Warriors | 47c | 307.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Warriors | 46c | 306.35$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Warriors | 48c | 306.3$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.03 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kings | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Warriors | 47c | 299.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.79 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Warriors | 10c | 298.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Kings | 54c | 297.12$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…8ad8backed Kings | 50c | 286.77$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…d17abacked Kings | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Kings | 52c | 278.3$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 53c | 277$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Kings | 52c | 274.79$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Warriors | 48c | 268.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Warriors | 48c | 266.04$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Warriors | 47c | 265.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Kings | 55c | 247.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Kings | 54c | 243.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Kings vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Kings vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Under won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Warriors (-14.5)Kings won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.