NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5952fa3d405ce22a5991c700eed2fe25509a8eca5059a1a988d5d6a8981d6268

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $93,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $89,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,298 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over	50c	19,874$9,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,892.17	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under	53c	18,482$9,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,777.15	207	44.9%93 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	42c	12,422$5,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,212.37	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under	50c	9,999$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,999.5	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under	50c	6,820$3,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,410	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Over	48c	5,428$2,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,605.44	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	51c	4,775$2,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,344.11	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	9c	2,681$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.1	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under	76c	2,678$2,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.43	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	29c	2,448$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.15	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under	51c	2,038$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$998.75	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	49c	1,838$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.62	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	51c	1,692$859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.3	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	51c	1,623$829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$793.98	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over	46c	1,365$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.9	126	46%58 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	33c	1,122$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.55	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	47c	1,113$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.31	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over	15c	1,059$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.77	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ea8…c8bdbacked Over	4c	999.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…0327backed Over	12c	918.28$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.7	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-81%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	47c	896.44$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.25	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	13c	834.24$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	50c	816.74$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.37	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	60c	745.13$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.05	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over	40c	729.44$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.54	68	17.6%12 W · 56 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over	50c	679$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.5	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	50c	619.9$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.87	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ada…d690backed Over	48c	599.29$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.31	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+25%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	54c	599$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.27	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under	50c	582.94$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.47	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	48c	558.89$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.87	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Over	50c	556.49$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.25	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc594…773fbacked Over	15c	551.32$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.93	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over	49c	517.66$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.65	168	45.2%76 W · 92 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Under	52c	485.72$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.2	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Over	48c	470.83$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.41	56	50%28 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	49c	426.9$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.18	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over	46c	420.7$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.52	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	51c	404.13$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.02	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	50c	388$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	170	47.6%81 W · 89 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under	79c	377.5$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.54	277	45.8%127 W · 150 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	48c	334.99$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.21	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	50c	329.8$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.9	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	24c	319.6$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.69	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	49c	291.17$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.67	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under	51c	287.31$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.75	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over	48c	275$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over	50c	270.86$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.81	332	51.2%170 W · 162 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over	34c	261.1$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.96	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over	11c	259.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.58	294	49.7%146 W · 148 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0965…ac46backed Over	13c	256.25$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.28	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over	49c	236.53$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.9	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	28c	232.24$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.12	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7747…7cf2backed Over	12c	224.23$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.01	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over	47c	206$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.82	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over	49c	196.89$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.47	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over	10c	196.53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.48	279	37.3%104 W · 175 L	+57.6wins	+0.21per pick	17cpaid	+187%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over	51c	194.93$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.7	592	55.4%328 W · 264 L	+23.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over	51c	190.31$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.06	384	53.4%205 W · 179 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under	51c	190.31$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.25	117	59.8%70 W · 47 L	+13.0wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Over	51c	190.31$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.06	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Under	51c	190.31$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.25	150	55.3%83 W · 67 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Under	51c	190.31$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.25	267	55.1%147 W · 120 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under	51c	190.31$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.25	185	52.4%97 W · 88 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdf…677bbacked Under	51c	190.31$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.25	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Over	10c	161.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.37	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-8.1wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over	10c	154.15$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.67	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Over	50c	144.58$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.77	92	39.1%36 W · 56 L	-10.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under	49c	140.27$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.54	213	47.9%102 W · 111 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Over	41c	138.9$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.95	142	37.3%53 W · 89 L	-11.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Over	51c	132.43$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.25	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under	74c	124.13$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.17	195	50.8%99 W · 96 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Over	39c	123.51$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.17	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over	49c	120.21$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.9	367	49.6%182 W · 185 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over	49c	120.21$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.9	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	10c	109.43$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over	50c	106.7$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.35	131	38.2%50 W · 81 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Over	50c	105.73$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.87	200	40%80 W · 120 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over	50c	100.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.22	394	48.7%192 W · 202 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x891f…f851backed Over	50c	97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.5	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-6.5wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over	49c	96.94$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	361	53.5%193 W · 168 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Under	70c	96.24$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.42	87	62.1%54 W · 33 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	51c	95.16$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.63	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	51c	83.18$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.04	390	41%160 W · 230 L	-32.8wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x709f…a1e4backed Under	60c	82.56$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.35	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under	50c	79.3$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.65	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over	50c	75.66$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.83	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd79…3635backed Over	38c	74.49$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.56	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over	51c	72.57$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.97	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	50c	71.8$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.9	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa7…eba5backed Under	78c	63.26$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.92	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Over	50c	58.2$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under	50c	56.43$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.22	238	40.8%97 W · 141 L	-16.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over	47c	55.66$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.16	202	40.1%81 W · 121 L	-12.4wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over	51c	51.4$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.02	224	54.5%122 W · 102 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under	65c	50.91$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.82	313	45%141 W · 172 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Over	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	-12.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under	79c	49.15$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.08	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5this page
1H Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 3.5No won
Kings vs. WarriorsWarriors won
Kings vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Under won
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Under won
Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 18.5No won
Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Warriors (-13.5)Kings won
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)Kings won
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)Kings won
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event