NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf1471a2a118e4467cb7aec2e3c2f448f2a74d746d6090ff24117c7bb3fecfa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Warriors, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,044,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,023,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,044,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Kings | 50c | 1,050,971$520,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530,073.36 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Warriors | 51c | 487,055$248,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248,317.51 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 50c | 379,968$190,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190,827.56 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 52c | 293,861$152,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,127.21 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 48c | 195,666$94,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,939.42 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Kings | 50c | 161,347$80,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,164.29 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Warriors | 51c | 114,624$58,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,230.17 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Warriors | 49c | 95,000$46,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,550 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Warriors | 52c | 32,997$17,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,062.68 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Warriors | 52c | 28,165$14,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,645.7 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kings | 51c | 26,900$13,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,168.54 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Warriors | 50c | 25,173$12,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,691.26 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Kings | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 49c | 19,307$9,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,939.83 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Warriors | 49c | 17,284$8,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500.5 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 52c | 12,759$6,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,634.86 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 50c | 11,917$5,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,958.66 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Kings | 48c | 11,555$5,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,008.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kings | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.94 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 46c | 9,999$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,356.12 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Kings | 48c | 9,083$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.9 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 50c | 8,799$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Kings | 48c | 8,158$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.16 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 51c | 7,845$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.1 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Warriors | 51c | 7,559$3,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,883.6 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Warriors | 48c | 7,344$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.24 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 48c | 6,640$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 53c | 6,338$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.18 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Warriors | 50c | 6,005$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…1a2cbacked Warriors | 38c | 5,553$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Warriors | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Warriors | 52c | 4,708$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.14 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Kings | 50c | 4,149$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.07 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Warriors | 51c | 4,105$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.38 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Kings | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Warriors | 52c | 3,964$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.1 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Kings | 49c | 3,940$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.29 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 49c | 2,848$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 50c | 2,801$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.78 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,516$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.89 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kings | 52c | 2,304$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.33 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Warriors | 51c | 2,080$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.8 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kings | 49c | 2,076$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.54 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Kings | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.53 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Kings | 47c | 2,018$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.67 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,959$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.7 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kings | 50c | 1,955$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.41 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Warriors | 50c | 1,949$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.68 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Kings | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.79 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kings | 49c | 1,816$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.82 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Kings | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Kings | 47c | 1,677$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.94 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Kings | 48c | 1,484$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.89 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Warriors | 4c | 1,383$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Kings | 48c | 1,229$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.61 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,104$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.95 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Warriors | 52c | 1,009$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.42 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Warriors | 52c | 1,006$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.14 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Kings | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…a9cfbacked Kings | 51c | 999.31$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Kings | 49c | 997.51$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.73 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Kings | 50c | 961.68$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.55 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Kings | 47c | 955.61$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.48 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Warriors | 53c | 913.74$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Warriors | 52c | 878.51$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.82 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Warriors | 52c | 867.69$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Kings | 49c | 866.19$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.76 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Warriors | 51c | 854.52$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.45 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Kings | 48c | 839.55$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.27 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Warriors | 48c | 830$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.4 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Kings | 49c | 797.65$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.74 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Kings | 49c | 775.52$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.52 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Kings | 50c | 774.78$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.76 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…df3fbacked Warriors | 25c | 668.89$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Kings | 48c | 631.86$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.57 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…4c8fbacked Warriors | 41c | 607.15$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Warriors | 50c | 591.79$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.81 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Kings | 50c | 588.31$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.15 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warriors | 50c | 573.04$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.65 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…1f37backed Warriors | 51c | 567.02$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Warriors | 49c | 557$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25fc…ef05backed Warriors | 53c | 554.15$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Warriors | 48c | 544.48$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.35 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Warriors | 51c | 534.48$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.58 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Warriors | 55c | 529.95$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.92 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…b4d4backed Warriors | 56c | 522.53$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.06 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Warriors | 50c | 498.91$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.6 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Kings | 49c | 494.59$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Warriors | 50c | 492.19$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.21 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Kings | 49c | 475.27$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.37 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Kings | 49c | 460.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.11 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Warriors | 50c | 436.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.25 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Kings | 49c | 409.31$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.75 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Kings | 47c | 405.53$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.93 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Kings | 48c | 401.76$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.97 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Warriors | 50c | 391.88$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.86 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Warriors | 51c | 391.18$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Warriors | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Kings vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Kings vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Under won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Warriors (-15.5)Kings won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.