NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x839f4c0f3294cac073088250b8fe7aa5b06142b13300ac43044c70c45a55ca0e

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $48,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $49,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,790 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under	53c	18,852$10,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,788.13	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	47c	7,218$3,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,392.57	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under	51c	5,743$2,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,832.31	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	46c	4,838$2,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,225.48	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	48c	2,574$1,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.46	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	64c	1,655$1,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.06	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over	50c	1,568$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.3	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	47c	1,157$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.79	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Over	51c	999.95$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.98	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-5.1wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	18c	978.59$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.62	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over	52c	933.85$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.6	256	57%146 W · 110 L	+9.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over	50c	918$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over	48c	805.92$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.93	223	49.8%111 W · 112 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over	50c	782$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-3.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd421…7155backed Over	28c	694.15$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.22	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	51c	640.55$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.68	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	50c	629.05$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.53	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	45c	626.81$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.27	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over	13c	623.64$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.06	279	37.3%104 W · 175 L	+57.6wins	+0.21per pick	17cpaid	+187%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0x0954…bfffbacked Under	50c	598.26$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.13	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under	54c	594.24$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.35	155	43.2%67 W · 88 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	52c	560.31$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.36	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	47c	511.74$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.73	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	49c	479.68$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.12	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Over	52c	475.89$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.46	102	52%53 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under	51c	452.09$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.98	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	49c	412.98$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.34	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under	48c	393.2$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.46	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over	50c	387.98$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.61	161	59.6%96 W · 65 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	36c	355.04$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.5	188	44.7%84 W · 104 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under	49c	318.4$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.38	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over	49c	306$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.94	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over	14c	269.33$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.33	462	55.6%257 W · 205 L	+22.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	46c	227.34$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.53	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over	11c	220$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	47c	213.16$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.05	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over	46c	209.8$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.46	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	46c	207.62$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.46	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Over	47c	206$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.82	92	39.1%36 W · 56 L	-10.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over	46c	188.91$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.9	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9210…5430backed Over	53c	186.42$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.8	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over	52c	166.22$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.44	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	46c	164.85$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.8	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	46c	164.69$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.72	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over	46c	164.33$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.56	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over	16c	162.22$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.16	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over	45c	160.39$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.18	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	46c	154.38$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.98	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under	57c	151.79$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.52	218	48.2%105 W · 113 L	+11.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over	46c	151.52$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.7	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under	48c	151.2$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.63	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over	16c	150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	404	40.1%162 W · 242 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Over	52c	149.99$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over	42c	139.22$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.92	117	53.8%63 W · 54 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	45c	133$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.85	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over	46c	127.07$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.04	68	61.8%42 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	48c	125.26$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.14	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under	49c	124.68$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.59	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	48c	112.06$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.25	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under	50c	106.75$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.96	376	65.4%246 W · 130 L	+62.0wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	48c	106.69$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.42	188	50.5%95 W · 93 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	267	45.3%121 W · 146 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over	46c	98.86$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.48	355	46.5%165 W · 190 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under	49c	96.94$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.44	279	45.9%128 W · 151 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4859…b08ebacked Over	53c	91.68$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.59	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over	46c	88.01$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.48	423	52.5%222 W · 201 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	47c	82.12$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.3	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over	17c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	455	44.8%204 W · 251 L	+21.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c54…476dbacked Under	51c	78.8$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.61	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over	14c	78.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.02	240	44.6%107 W · 133 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	53c	76.35$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.12	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over	46c	74.15$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.11	492	47.2%232 W · 260 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over	46c	74.15$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.11	407	50.6%206 W · 201 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad9…caefbacked Over	46c	74.13$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.1	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under	54c	72.02$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.27	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over	46c	69.41$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.93	95	55.8%53 W · 42 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	56c	67.72$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.11	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over	49c	65.01$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.85	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under	57c	63.17$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.1	156	62.8%98 W · 58 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a61…4db6backed Under	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over	49c	59.35$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.08	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over	53c	55.01$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.15	184	59.2%109 W · 75 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over	26c	53.54$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over	49c	52.48$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.72	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over	46c	52.21$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.02	443	47.2%209 W · 234 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over	46c	52.21$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.02	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	48c	51.04$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.54	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over	53c	46.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.63	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-5.6wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-27%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	50c	45.02$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6836…83f7backed Under	56c	44.28$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.48	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Over	52c	42.07$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.88	162	42.6%69 W · 93 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over	53c	38.87$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e1…f5a9backed Over	52c	37.35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.42	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over	52c	37.35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.42	219	52.5%115 W · 104 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	45c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	45c	31.07$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	70	37.1%26 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Over	41c	30.62$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.64	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under	48c	30.37$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.84	216	49.1%106 W · 110 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over	52c	30.07$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.64	533	49.3%263 W · 270 L	-28.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5this page
1H Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 3.5No won
Kings vs. WarriorsWarriors won
Kings vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Under won
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Under won
Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 18.5No won
Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Warriors (-13.5)Kings won
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)Kings won
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)Kings won
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event