NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6f798922457763c71575aa9c853d0c16ed87fe76f941fbef3614d4f7bfa24e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Kings, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,353,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,498,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,353,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 10c | 40,308$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.21 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Kings | 12c | 37,883$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.04 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Kings | 35c | 33,973$11,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,994.87 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kings | 4c | 19,505$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.05 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8ef3backed Kings | 2c | 18,013$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.75 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Kings | 7c | 17,758$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.21 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…b9ebbacked Kings | 10c | 17,291$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 10c | 17,070$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.96 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 73c | 16,634$12,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554.18 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kings | 5c | 14,611$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.62 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Kings | 11c | 13,794$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.39 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Kings | 10c | 11,119$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.53 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 8c | 8,970$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.61 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Kings | 25c | 8,491$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.13 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Kings | 10c | 8,215$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.5 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Kings | 21c | 8,200$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.54 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Kings | 11c | 7,995$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.78 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Kings | 25c | 7,676$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.86 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 16c | 7,170$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.46 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kings | 3c | 6,845$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.66 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 10c | 6,683$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.97 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Kings | 11c | 6,626$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Kings | 17c | 6,455$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.31 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings | 11c | 6,408$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.89 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kings | 13c | 6,280$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.18 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Kings | 30c | 6,134$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.8 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 12c | 5,825$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.03 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Kings | 10c | 5,648$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.78 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 10c | 5,570$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.64 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Kings | 13c | 5,465$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.95 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kings | 35c | 5,000$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kings | 10c | 4,919$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.92 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kings | 8c | 4,883$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.88 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Kings | 7c | 4,571$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.17 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Kings | 14c | 4,555$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.33 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Kings | 10c | 4,555$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.48 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 24c | 4,552$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.71 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Kings | 11c | 4,126$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.03 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Kings | 38c | 4,106$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Kings | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b1e9backed Warriors | 80c | 3,840$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.39 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Kings | 11c | 3,780$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.85 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kings | 10c | 3,724$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.4 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 10c | 3,457$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…a2ecbacked Kings | 2c | 3,397$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…03f5backed Kings | 28c | 3,388$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Kings | 10c | 3,257$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.68 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 1c | 3,227$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Warriors | 64c | 3,043$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.75 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Warriors | 63c | 2,947$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.87 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Kings | 7c | 2,681$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.53 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Warriors | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Kings | 12c | 2,433$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 15c | 2,353$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Kings | 11c | 2,100$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Kings | 11c | 2,082$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.27 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…f47cbacked Warriors | 80c | 2,047$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.13 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Kings | 11c | 2,008$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.85 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Kings | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Kings | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Kings | 33c | 1,941$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.64 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Kings | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…de29backed Kings | 10c | 1,892$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Kings | 9c | 1,891$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kings | 15c | 1,863$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.86 | 152 | 19.7%30 W · 122 L | -26.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Kings | 11c | 1,852$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.76 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Kings | 12c | 1,800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Kings | 8c | 1,760$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.41 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Kings | 11c | 1,626$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.24 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Kings | 9c | 1,622$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.98 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Kings | 22c | 1,579$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.31 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Kings | 30c | 1,574$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.13 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…dcf3backed Kings | 13c | 1,519$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Warriors | 65c | 1,505$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.22 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Kings | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Kings | 11c | 1,489$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.76 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Kings | 11c | 1,453$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Kings | 36c | 1,441$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…8cb1backed Warriors | 71c | 1,405$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Warriors | 64c | 1,385$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.55 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Kings | 11c | 1,363$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…ce05backed Warriors | 70c | 1,360$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 10c | 1,339$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Kings | 10c | 1,324$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked Kings | 8c | 1,321$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Kings | 11c | 1,319$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba2…63ddbacked Kings | 10c | 1,300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…5a86backed Kings | 2c | 1,298$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Kings | 11c | 1,268$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Kings | 18c | 1,250$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.72 | 186 | 32.3%60 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Kings | 6c | 1,240$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kings | 24c | 1,239$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.79 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Kings | 5c | 1,155$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kings | 11c | 1,144$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Kings | 3c | 1,105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Kings | 12c | 1,103$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.09 | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Kings | 11c | 1,098$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9953…270fbacked Kings | 14c | 1,072$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Kings vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Under won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Warriors (-14.5)Kings won
- Spread: Warriors (-15.5)Kings won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.