NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62064c74db6c41b7fcf796dc6eb88d380aa1bcc81d533e12cd430ffaaf845069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Warriors, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Warriors | 54c | 49,759$26,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,870.1 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Kings | 46c | 40,739$18,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,998.94 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Warriors | 55c | 33,733$18,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,485.06 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 40c | 17,854$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,713.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Warriors | 53c | 15,585$8,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,260.3 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Kings | 44c | 14,286$6,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Kings | 47c | 13,558$6,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,185.72 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 47c | 10,030$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,315.9 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Warriors | 71c | 8,007$5,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,701.97 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…3fcbbacked Warriors | 53c | 7,866$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kings | 46c | 6,208$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.37 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings | 44c | 6,146$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.92 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Warriors | 56c | 5,511$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.03 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 45c | 5,485$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.96 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31e…82cdbacked Kings | 45c | 4,298$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 47c | 3,549$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.59 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kings | 45c | 3,277$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.96 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,017$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.89 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 32c | 2,726$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.13 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Kings | 45c | 2,402$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.29 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Kings | 46c | 2,398$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.37 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Warriors | 57c | 2,171$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.99 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Warriors | 54c | 2,161$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.88 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kings | 41c | 2,091$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.02 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Kings | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Warriors | 54c | 1,740$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.27 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Warriors | 55c | 1,295$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.19 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 37c | 1,269$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.37 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Warriors | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.38 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 46c | 930.12$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings | 44c | 909.59$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.3 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Warriors | 55c | 729.75$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.36 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 39c | 724.71$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.52 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 44c | 682.44$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.46 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Warriors | 54c | 595.53$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.59 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Kings | 46c | 560.61$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.39 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Warriors | 61c | 558.39$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.86 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Warriors | 58c | 545.44$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.36 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warriors | 50c | 542.84$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.89 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Kings | 48c | 526.21$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.63 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7084…0ae5backed Kings | 48c | 502.57$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Warriors | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…52b6backed Warriors | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Warriors | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Kings | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Warriors | 62c | 396.78$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.28 | 248 | 56.5%140 W · 108 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Warriors | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Warriors | 55c | 343.03$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Kings | 49c | 327.32$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Kings | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.53 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Kings | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -6.0wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Kings | 44c | 272.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Kings | 54c | 268.04$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kings | 43c | 267.36$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.05 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kings | 47c | 262.53$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Kings | 46c | 257.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.51 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 52c | 242.58$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kings | 42c | 241.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.95 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…5d38backed Kings | 46c | 230.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 43c | 229.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Warriors | 32c | 216.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Kings | 47c | 204.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.35 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc44…2483backed Warriors | 62c | 188.8$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Warriors | 51c | 187.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2257…0555backed Kings | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Warriors | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Warriors | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…4bd9backed Kings | 48c | 161.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Kings | 47c | 159.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Kings | 40c | 155.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Warriors | 30c | 147.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Warriors | 13c | 142$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…a82abacked Warriors | 51c | 134.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Warriors | 15c | 116.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…2f3dbacked Warriors | 54c | 109.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Kings | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd79…3635backed Warriors | 26c | 103.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Kings | 46c | 98.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Warriors | 58c | 96.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Kings | 67c | 90.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Warriors | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Warriors | 20c | 87.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…f2d7backed Warriors | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 43c | 77.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…6a4fbacked Kings | 46c | 76.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Kings | 46c | 74.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Warriors | 53c | 73.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Warriors | 55c | 71.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…b249backed Kings | 46c | 61.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Kings | 44c | 60.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Warriors | 59c | 57.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Kings | 40c | 54.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Kings | 48c | 52.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Warriors | 54c | 50.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Warriors | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kings | 46c | 48.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Kings | 46c | 46.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b1…b35bbacked Kings | 46c | 46.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Kings | 52c | 43.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Warriors | 61c | 42.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Kings vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Kings vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Under won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-14.5)Kings won
- Spread: Warriors (-15.5)Kings won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.