TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6277…0327

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+194.9%+$29.24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+226%+$50.49
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$26.84
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.46
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.82
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked Unsettled Resentment · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.45
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.96
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+94.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-81%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.44
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.39
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$88.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$63.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 32m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.