NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c3b5a42487dcae33ad68eb928f018ded37921ea3d82cb7883d3b3e6cd93bde7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 57c | 1,117$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.1 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 43c | 855.26$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.76 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 702.89$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 652.67$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.59 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9102…89d6backed Over | 64c | 624.09$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 41c | 594.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 576.65$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.95 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…3464backed Over | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 62c | 474.96$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.86 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…0327backed Under | 9c | 452.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Over | 70c | 437.76$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 13c | 431.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 65c | 374.94$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 23c | 329.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 39c | 299.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 78c | 286.67$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over | 59c | 284.35$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 44c | 265.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…9498backed Under | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 60c | 211$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 42c | 175.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 31c | 174.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 59c | 168.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 41c | 141.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 70c | 140.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 58c | 118$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 40c | 115.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 42c | 113.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa655…b10cbacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…3b18backed Over | 73c | 99.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Over | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under | 19c | 88.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 39c | 87.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 77.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Over | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 45c | 75.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd79…3635backed Over | 65c | 73.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 59c | 71.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 41c | 67.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 42c | 66.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 58.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Under | 35c | 55.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…a021backed Under | 32c | 48.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 39c | 46.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Under | 32c | 45.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Over | 66c | 41.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 43c | 38.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Over | 65c | 38.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…8f4dbacked Under | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 67c | 34.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 44c | 33.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 59c | 33.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…c32bbacked Over | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 65c | 31.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 58c | 29.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 57c | 27.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…501cbacked Over | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 44c | 24.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 58c | 21.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Over | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-0.5)Suns won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Rockets vs. SunsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.