TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,964 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under52c25,489$13,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,254.351,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c10,337$4,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,375.491,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over48c9,470$4,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,891.0243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c9,417$4,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,720.011,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c6,366$3,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.152,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over52c5,682$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.0913954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Over47c5,330$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.797451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under47c3,808$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.9735744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c3,740$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.053,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under44c3,479$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.271,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c3,449$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.662,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over65c2,500$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88520856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Under32c2,239$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7231136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c2,215$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.7470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c2,173$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.42,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Over68c2,168$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.3710144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c1,976$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over57c1,691$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.291,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…cf21backed Under62c1,652$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.981952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under55c1,648$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.1165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.8364651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c1,381$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.671,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under35c1,254$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.9615644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c1,226$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.961,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under51c1,226$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.0740451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under39c1,097$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.381,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c1,062$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.474,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under44c1,047$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.8240344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c1,016$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.483,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c1,008$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.9846258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c1,005$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.974,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c879.79$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c813.47$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.742,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd421…7155backed Under38c755.49$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.886142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over52c724.92$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.961,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c617.95$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.081,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under29c616.36$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7526337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over48c609.38$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.8816845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8617047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3908…20eabacked Under48c604.27$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.053357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over62c600.68$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.371546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under48c585.32$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c547.15$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.165,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under45c513.34$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Under11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9102…89d6backed Under51c485.3$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.52050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over73c477.11$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x150c…cbb4backed Under41c470.69$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.921233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c455.56$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.892,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under40c442.7$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.671,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over53c439.03$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3511242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Under36c434.03$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.918532.9%28 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c425.8$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.612,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7918643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c395.56$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.711,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c372.37$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.379,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2ac…a82abacked Under51c342.56$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.711338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9953…270fbacked Under53c339.16$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.753250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb49…a875backed Over60c331.84$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.745100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under48c311.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under45c306.42$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3134953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under50c296.82$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over48c278.05$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7896…5a86backed Under22c269.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.71850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c267$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.662,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under36c258.84$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9222140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under49c257.19$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0231151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdd…b1a1backed Over63c251.17$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.211361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Over48c242.2$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9438942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over61c236.61$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2834255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under41c234.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0921950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa7…eba5backed Under49c217.11$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.71650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under47c214.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0578652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdf…677bbacked Over48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.951457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9819435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under51c199.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9911556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over48c196.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Over53c189.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0710255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under52c184.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8813148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c184.17$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9293543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Under49c183.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.376848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over55c177.49$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.876543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over48c171.56$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2115543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over50c169.79$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.494238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under49c169.65$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1324949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Under41c167.04$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.497659.2%45 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over54c164.73$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c155.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Under35c137.55$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.057646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2c…fd1ebacked Under42c136.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.06128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.6wins-0.38per pick47cpaid-88.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over55c130.58$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.892,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Over48c129.82$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.513743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eea…f37cbacked Over76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1227162.4%169 W · 102 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over48c113.35$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9418744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over70c112.23$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6711753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over48c108.93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2631345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over60c106.63$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.89646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over70c105.07$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.526046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.