NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa827b3628cecc4d1a9f20864b04583a41d9acace543df70f977adbaef636cd34

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,639 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0767…36b0backed Over	52c	11,182$5,785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,396.5	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa56d…82e7backed Under	48c	8,005$3,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,842.45	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over	59c	2,808$1,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,143.63	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	46c	2,728$1,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,255	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	40c	1,696$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.05	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over	58c	1,686$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.42	67	64.2%43 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	45c	1,590$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.62	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	46c	1,031$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.47	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.8	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	84	58.3%49 W · 35 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Under	49c	999.99$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	152	19.1%29 W · 123 L	-10.1wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	63c	861.03$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.63	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	43c	850.11$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.55	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under	46c	761.52$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.3	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under	46c	635.54$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.35	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over	56c	626.74$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.77	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	55c	605.21$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.43	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	42c	491.81$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.84	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	43c	485.97$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.67	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	42c	475.09$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.75	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	46c	401.83$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.84	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	45c	399$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.88	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	43c	398.72$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.41	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	48c	398.02$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.05	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	46c	386.56$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.91	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	53c	346.13$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.02	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	40c	330.5$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.2	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	46c	295.89$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.11	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	47c	294.89$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.45	355	46.5%165 W · 190 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under	44c	264.99$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.6	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Over	45c	248.6$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.73	166	53.6%89 W · 77 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under	49c	245.1$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.1	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe39a…da0bbacked Over	51c	237.89$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.57	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	-7.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Under	46c	208.17$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.76	87	62.1%54 W · 33 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under	40c	200.98$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.73	221	40.7%90 W · 131 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over	45c	182.42$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.33	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	46c	178.24$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.99	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Under	46c	177.05$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.44	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under	46c	160.18$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.68	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	54c	143.86$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.18	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	54c	143.86$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.18	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	46c	133.52$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.42	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	45c	110$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.02	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62db…d58ebacked Under	46c	108.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.17per pick	48cpaid	+38%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under	46c	105.17$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.38	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Under	44c	98.84$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.46	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under	46c	97.04$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.89	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Over	45c	81.12$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.77	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-11.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Under	45c	75.76$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.84	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-8.1wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over	53c	73.94$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under	46c	62.59$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.77	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under	43c	52.69$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.66	394	48.7%192 W · 202 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	55c	52.4$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.56	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Under	47c	48.41$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under	46c	47.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.07	238	40.8%97 W · 141 L	-16.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	47c	43.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.48	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under	49c	40.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	-6.5wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	47c	36.79$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.29	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over	54c	36.01$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.57	142	53.5%76 W · 66 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under	46c	35.51$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.33	554	44.4%246 W · 308 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under	45c	32.84$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	405	46.9%190 W · 215 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…129dbacked Under	47c	32.26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.16	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc510…065dbacked Over	61c	32.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.53	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over	55c	31.71$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.37	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x687f…5665backed Under	47c	30.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee9…5b88backed Under	47c	30.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.7wins	-0.26per pick	48cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under	39c	30.18$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	118	26.3%31 W · 87 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under	44c	28.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5b…afe2backed Under	46c	26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+38%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over	65c	26$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.06	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Over	64c	25.16$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.06	110	59.1%65 W · 45 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under	46c	24.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	293	44.4%130 W · 163 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e4…7197backed Under	45c	24.18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under	45c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	717	52%373 W · 344 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	55c	22.38$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.07	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Over	55c	21.89$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event