TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc510…065d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
ITF Maanshan: Meiqi Guo vs Evialina Laskevichbacked Evialina Laskevich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.78
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.47
Madrid: Nicolas Jarry vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Nicolas Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.72
Madrid: Lisa Pigato vs Laura Samsonbacked Lisa Pigato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.21
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anhelina Kalinina vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Philip Sekulicbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$18.9
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgrenbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$6.49
Wuning: Tom Paris vs Ilia Simakinbacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.09
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs Keegan Smithbacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
San Luis Potosi: Tibo Colson vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$13.35
Miyazaki: Rio Noguchi vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.79
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick35cpaid+150.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.29
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$37.84
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.68
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$73.54
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23.94
Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.92
Brazil vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+610.6%+$111.13
Will Czechia vs. Denmark end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$68.66
Will Japan win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$80.75
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+73.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$28.95
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.58
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$39.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$18.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.