TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,670 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd91c…4507backed Over0c18,801$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c15,770$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,169.962,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over46c14,995$6,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,897.518923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Over44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.991323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under54c6,214$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,858.256659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.9921058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c4,867$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.581,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over48c4,404$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.712544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c3,120$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.1541954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over48c3,024$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.251741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under55c2,998$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.161747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over48c1,964$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.649054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over43c1,497$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.317552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under54c1,399$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.6210650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c1,375$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.8493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over38c1,357$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over20c1,238$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.89937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under53c1,056$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.462560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over46c1,043$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.7210940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over5c999.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Under52c999.97$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.992744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over46c979.81$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.027546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over47c950.48$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.7311127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Under54c900.41$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.211650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Over46c812.78$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.881952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Over46c812.78$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.882050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over49c750.15$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.45242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Over46c716.02$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.372653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over28c684.11$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.553013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Under52c679.46$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.14955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under54c554.57$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.343663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under54c540.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.517744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Over45c537.22$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.753063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under58c527.6$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.593243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over42c510.18$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2713826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed Under66c446.27$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.381050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under54c435.61$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.34365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under56c421.2$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.333759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over47c413.53$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.262839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6413636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over26c404.29$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.123141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over48c403.77$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c403.7$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3718125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under66c396.6$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under53c383.45$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.861872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under52c370.14$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.674555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under54c370$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.24658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under65c364.71$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.434557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under62c355.76$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over23c354.02$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2949137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over41c316.76$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.873164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under54c310.33$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.754641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over47c309$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2315459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over18c305.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1916526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over22c304.32$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under56c303.35$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.471560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over29c302.68$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.212351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over45c301.88$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.884235.7%15 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over36c264.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.194344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over32c257.15$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8238739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under53c249.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.513146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.522240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d88…1695backed Under53c229.79$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under52c208.05$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.872040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over46c199.83$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.927254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over43c198.95$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.559857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over15c195.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.153915.4%6 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over42c194.88$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.853348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under53c194.67$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.962857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over42c193.04$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.081050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Under52c191.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over45c184.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2411150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5d…ef01backed Over44c173.92$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6f…e1f5backed Over48c165.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed Under51c162.05$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.42259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under65c161.77$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9232650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over43c158$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.369045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over46c157.76$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.571540%6 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-45.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under54c151.15$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.534548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Over28c150.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.511747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over14c143.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.988158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.22650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over42c137.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.91812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-71.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under74c133.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.65757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over48c131.19$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.972825%7 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked Over46c126.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.06825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under79c125.19$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.376258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8520452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over39c117.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over39c117.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.685170.6%36 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb9b…49a7backed Over48c113.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.251050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under53c111.75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.372466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed62…6f83backed Over45c110.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4514748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a83…9c87backed Over46c99.84$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over46c96.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.511861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5aa…e4ebbacked Over42c96.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Under53c92.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.713253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.