TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7d88…1695

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.05
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$51.75
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.34
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$55
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$43.17
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$128.79
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$83.25
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$107.56
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$339.68
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$108
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$25.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.