NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Bucks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28e7c57a5d983d62a9e8dcb775e1cb122320bba383b588757054a6d855a6ca9c

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bucksof Cavaliers, Bucks
Resolved: Feb 26, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,165,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,178,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,165,978 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Cavaliers	58c	288,849$167,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167,532.62	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Bucks	42c	148,618$62,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86,198.42	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks	30c	123,452$37,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86,221.43	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks	42c	96,269$40,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,161	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Bucks	42c	82,822$34,785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,036.76	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Bucks	24c	75,000$18,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,999.95	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks	42c	69,759$29,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,466.37	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Bucks	38c	62,752$24,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,597.25	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Bucks	40c	60,690$24,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,414.19	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Cavaliers	58c	60,000$35,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,999.76	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers	62c	58,576$36,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,176.5	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks	42c	58,451$24,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,901.8	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Bucks	41c	51,304$21,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,038.05	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers	59c	47,676$28,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,337.87	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Cavaliers	61c	45,082$27,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,500	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Bucks	34c	44,184$14,971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,213.65	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	66c	43,159$28,661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,660.8	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Cavaliers	61c	40,535$24,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,726.52	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Bucks	40c	38,281$15,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,781.13	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers	50c	37,986$19,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,181.12	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Bucks	39c	36,697$14,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,248.67	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks	42c	30,000$12,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,399.99	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers	58c	29,212$16,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,977.05	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Cavaliers	70c	28,657$20,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,195.9	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	61c	26,249$16,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,083.13	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Bucks	42c	25,799$10,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,963.69	160	39.4%63 W · 97 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Cavaliers	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers	58c	24,800$14,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,335.76	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers	60c	24,780$14,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,967.33	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers	69c	23,948$16,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,613.65	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Bucks	42c	23,810$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,809.64	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Cavaliers	61c	23,731$14,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,475.91	153	49%75 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Bucks	28c	23,280$6,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,817.75	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Bucks	42c	22,360$9,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,968.79	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Bucks	24c	20,374$4,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,393.17	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers	59c	19,883$11,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,755.47	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Bucks	43c	18,516$7,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,554.28	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Bucks	41c	17,165$6,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,204.7	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Bucks	43c	17,107$7,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,723.17	278	65.8%183 W · 95 L	+25.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers	66c	16,670$10,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,953.81	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Cavaliers	76c	16,511$12,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,548.12	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Cavaliers	57c	15,958$9,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,096.06	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Cavaliers	60c	15,000$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Bucks	26c	13,733$3,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,162.24	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers	76c	12,630$9,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,598.8	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Bucks	41c	12,121$5,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,098.04	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Bucks	24c	11,800$2,832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,968	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Cavaliers	76c	11,800$8,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,967.97	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers	59c	11,642$6,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,900.61	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Bucks	42c	10,800$4,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,263.97	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers	59c	10,000$5,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,900	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Cavaliers	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	221	48%106 W · 115 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Bucks	24c	10,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,600	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed Bucks	40c	10,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,999.99	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+3.1wins	+0.35per pick	43cpaid	+81.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks	24c	10,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,599.95	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Bucks	42c	9,976$4,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,786.19	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Cavaliers	1c	9,848$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.48	145	33.1%48 W · 97 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Cavaliers	62c	9,533$5,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,923.23	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers	42c	9,123$3,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,844.69	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Bucks	42c	9,093$3,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,287.31	219	44.7%98 W · 121 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab7…24ecbacked Cavaliers	66c	8,897$5,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,890.8	160	65%104 W · 56 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Bucks	25c	8,335$2,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,230.95	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Bucks	42c	7,865$3,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,561.93	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Bucks	42c	7,814$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,513.95	95	31.6%30 W · 65 L	-11.6wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	65c	7,407$4,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,841.83	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked Cavaliers	58c	7,269$4,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,233.75	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.19per pick	40cpaid	-53%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers	61c	7,162$4,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,353.54	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Bucks	34c	7,054$2,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,645.87	161	62.7%101 W · 60 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Cavaliers	68c	7,047$4,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,791.96	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bucks	43c	7,000$3,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,990	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Bucks	42c	6,896$2,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,999.68	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers	56c	6,843$3,841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,841.32	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Cavaliers	56c	6,573$3,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,698.81	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Cavaliers	59c	6,529$3,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,862.02	527	60%316 W · 211 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Cavaliers	55c	6,405$3,523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,522.73	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Bucks	54c	6,367$3,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,928.86	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Cavaliers	57c	6,247$3,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,557.5	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1815…1efcbacked Bucks	24c	6,200$1,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,711.97	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers	62c	6,145$3,816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,816.08	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Bucks	40c	6,120$2,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,672	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks	26c	6,100$1,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,534.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Cavaliers	58c	6,034$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,499.72	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Bucks	24c	6,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,560	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Cavaliers	76c	6,000$4,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,559.95	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Bucks	39c	5,775$2,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,522.75	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks	37c	5,757$2,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,630.05	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bucks	43c	5,691$2,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,238.86	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers	68c	5,535$3,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,775.39	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Cavaliers	55c	5,484$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers	59c	5,359$3,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,153.56	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Cavaliers	32c	5,325$1,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,683.87	397	44.3%176 W · 221 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers	68c	5,278$3,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,584.07	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Cavaliers	59c	5,236$3,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,101	32	71.9%23 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Bucks	59c	5,086$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,086.15	77	58.4%45 W · 32 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bucks	39c	5,000$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,050	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Cavaliers	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	126	57.1%72 W · 54 L	+11.4wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Cavaliers	68c	4,926$3,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,344.11	237	47.7%113 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cavaliers	61c	4,918$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	419	54.4%228 W · 191 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22b6…0ebcbacked Cavaliers	57c	4,790$2,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,730	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Bucks	41c	4,718$1,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,783.69	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Bucksthis page
Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
Dean Wade: Points O/U 6.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Bucks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Bucks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Bucks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Bucks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Bucks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Bucks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event