TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,253 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x696a…e23abacked No79c1,966$1,559 inWon+$407.0117151.5%88 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No66c997.74$657 inWon+$341.1426069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aaf…ce8abacked Yes12c793.72$96 inLost-$96.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x585b…6670backed Yes26c609.7$161 inLost-$161540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…67bebacked Yes34c464.71$158 inLost-$1581050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked No67c303.03$203 inWon+$1006669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5040…fd94backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Yes30c300$90 inLost-$9043453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…102dbacked Yes34c282.35$96 inLost-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22fb…26a7backed Yes23c217.84$50 inLost-$501513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-58.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52f2…8357backed Yes25c204.05$51 inLost-$50.93922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa3…841cbacked No75c202.59$152 inWon+$50.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f5…2df3backed Yes25c139.45$35 inLost-$3560%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce7f…9bd0backed Yes25c100.81$25 inLost-$24.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f7…c354backed Yes34c94.12$32 inLost-$32650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c6…68dabacked Yes25c93.12$23 inLost-$232119%4 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-56.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No67c82.73$55 inWon+$27.365762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed No39c63.68$25 inWon+$38.531,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f46…c777backed Yes25c60$15 inLost-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200b…f4f1backed Yes34c54$18 inLost-$18.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No75c49.99$38 inWon+$12.422774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Yes61c40.69$25 inLost-$2532654.3%177 W · 149 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1093…d547backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost-$209768%66 W · 31 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.