TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1093…d547

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT9768%66 W · 31 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$76.93
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Thunder vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
76ers vs. Nuggetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$120.79
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$214.72
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+50.6%+$25.29
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.2%+$64.87
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25%+$75
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+150%+$21.62
Will Aston Villa beat Ipswich Town?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$62.4
Will Chelsea beat Brighton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$12.36
Will Manchester City beat Newcastle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal beat Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will Manchester United beat Southampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$35.19
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.67
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.67
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+98%+$196.47
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+75%+$18.74
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskies (W)backed Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.8%+$11.09
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Cal Poly Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
NJIT Highlanders vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Montana State Bobcats vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Montana State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
West Georgia Wolves vs. North Florida Ospreysbacked West Georgia Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-58%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+50.4%+$20.15
Will PSV win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44.6%+$32.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.3%+$4.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Fire FC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.