Champions League · resolved market
Will the match between LOSC Lille and Real Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb84cdbaa0aa4b24717f45f22ea92829ea8f41a380ada118d7de6b75b468a974
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 77c | 3,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.97 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,466$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.12 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 76c | 1,436$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.63 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 23c | 1,247$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.81 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…ba99backed Yes | 23c | 1,078$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…163cbacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe143…b5fcbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd476…a5c3backed Yes | 24c | 979.17$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 66c | 778.17$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.09 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 21c | 704.72$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98e…816ebacked No | 78c | 512.31$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb4…5678backed No | 78c | 505.51$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…ff04backed Yes | 35c | 418.74$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…fb94backed Yes | 32c | 337.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…5785backed Yes | 24c | 283.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32fa…a5e8backed Yes | 24c | 283.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 36c | 269.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 23c | 199.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…5d25backed No | 77c | 188.46$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 76c | 172.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…e504backed No | 77c | 149.18$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…41f9backed No | 78c | 146.54$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe710…8d6cbacked No | 78c | 146.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…14c0backed No | 78c | 143.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 22c | 127.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…6195backed Yes | 23c | 116.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…c78bbacked Yes | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…9aecbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd9…ce0fbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…dfa8backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1f40backed No | 77c | 50.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Yes | 23c | 50.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…16abbacked No | 78c | 50.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed No | 79c | 45.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…0fe6backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between LOSC Lille and Real Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will LOSC Lille beat Real Madrid?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.