TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,878 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f47…af93backed No45c52,524$23,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,875.971741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7724backed Yes62c27,238$16,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,887.53540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No42c21,408$8,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,494.385352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No39c12,114$4,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,397.9815442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Yes56c10,408$5,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,788.939038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x745b…ff04backed Yes42c6,833$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes57c6,219$3,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517.794837.5%18 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed No36c5,403$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.822835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No42c5,399$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,131.4417658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No64c5,303$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.4722647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes57c5,040$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.594443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae7f…44afbacked Yes59c4,829$2,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,847.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes56c4,708$2,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,648.044351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff2…7ecabacked Yes54c3,900$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes59c3,787$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.5417053.5%91 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce8…4a44backed Yes60c3,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.84560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca49…71e2backed Yes62c1,935$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0767…0901backed Yes63c1,904$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.04580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…dc53backed Yes43c1,612$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe29…63e5backed Yes60c1,600$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes39c1,265$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.0313847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe20…67debacked Yes54c1,176$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe429…fb94backed No71c1,169$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ca…9f7abacked Yes64c1,095$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd07e…f13bbacked Yes59c1,051$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.2540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Yes60c1,007$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.271030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5704436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf296…5638backed Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5338…c5a5backed Yes62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe204…96b1backed No39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaded…a79abacked No44c976.84$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No45c950$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.53240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed No37c883.71$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.184759.6%28 W · 19 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+45.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Yes58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d4…1cddbacked Yes64c824.5$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e1…9af1backed Yes63c793$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc9…73fabacked Yes64c712.23$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c4…106dbacked Yes62c652.74$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.71266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5be…8728backed Yes54c639.85$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No38c629.83$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.55250%26 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes61c574.37$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0615236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b67…0832backed No40c522.74$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed Yes57c500$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.52839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…765ebacked Yes62c489.62$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed No42c422$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b73…c1acbacked Yes62c391.95$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda0…bd85backed Yes63c356.9$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1645…47a0backed Yes64c312.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Yes62c309.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No57c304.98$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2317348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes47c299.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00b8…471ebacked Yes59c297.29$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…bc1bbacked Yes63c285.28$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89db…8d9ebacked No40c284.15$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b6…bb1cbacked No44c279.12$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Yes60c273.36$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.021560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes22c262.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.741442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3834…658ebacked No42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bdd…dc27backed Yes63c230.16$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x966a…5dabbacked No44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes46c223.18$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.481127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67b5…9f1ebacked No41c221$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+74.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea68…d4e9backed Yes57c219.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes61c200$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.524455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6781…7f5dbacked Yes59c197.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ea…5836backed Yes62c193.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e21…4d75backed Yes46c187.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.373250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fdd…eef3backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005358.5%31 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+33.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xad51…55abbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…a81bbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes37c174.83$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c49…1d34backed Yes60c173.38$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes58c173.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.431070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc173…b6e5backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4335…0f88backed Yes60c172.37$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1937…be57backed Yes36c170.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9865…55a8backed Yes63c168.75$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c3…ebc7backed No41c166.59$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.294100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53be…6377backed No41c166.59$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ea…158dbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bff…15a7backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe0…5a3abacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e01…3312backed Yes56c158.77$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.91825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…d8d3backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e4…4d74backed Yes64c156.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b26…2e52backed Yes59c152.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62d1…0220backed Yes48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8759…b0fdbacked No43c145.65$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1093…d547backed Yes64c140.63$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce7b…7677backed Yes64c140.63$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c3…0fc2backed Yes62c130.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes61c129.87$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.714040%16 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3caf…efb8backed Yes59c128.27$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a8…00b6backed Yes63c126.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9429…11b3backed Yes64c126.38$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351c…2db3backed Yes64c122.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.