Champions League · resolved market
Will LOSC Lille beat Real Madrid?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cd1d4922af2b901ae3608db420be92bfbec3dcdbce70be235e793a81246381d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 20c | 54,772$11,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,771.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 80c | 43,132$34,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,505.85 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 17c | 4,765$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.37 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 79c | 3,906$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.47 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 16c | 3,096$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.63 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,061$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.45 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.92 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…3e08backed Yes | 18c | 1,362$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…ee7bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,261$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe143…b5fcbacked Yes | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 16c | 1,158$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.94 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…163cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,150$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…3b04backed Yes | 17c | 1,030$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +472.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 38c | 878.48$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.51 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 55c | 671.61$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.68 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 56c | 569.69$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.14 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed No | 79c | 419.63$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…7227backed Yes | 17c | 229.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +504.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…66a9backed No | 79c | 218.65$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked No | 79c | 127$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…c084backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +229.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed Yes | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked No | 55c | 100.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…93dfbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +259.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…969dbacked Yes | 52c | 96.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 53c | 83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…5f84backed Yes | 16c | 64.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…6dd9backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LOSC Lille beat Real Madrid?this page
- Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?No won
- Will the match between LOSC Lille and Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.