TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6c1…c084

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.44
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+222.6%+$93.48
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.97
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$28.67
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Heat vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+156.4%+$17.21
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.66
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$24.7
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$50.26
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$55.45
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$14.1
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$28.1
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17.35
Trail Blazers vs. Pacersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$29
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$17.73
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$21.27
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$26.28
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Sharks vs. Penguinsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+150%+$27
Senators vs. Wildbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Ducks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+81.8%+$14.48
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+127.3%+$17.82
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.99
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+203%+$40.61
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.06
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$29.04
Canucks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.31
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Red Wings vs. Flyersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$41.56
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Everton win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.49
Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$45.3
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$33.04
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+156.4%+$20.33
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Brighton beat Tottenham?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$45
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+86%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$28.16
Angels vs. Dodgersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$30.13
Nationals vs. Oriolesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
White Sox vs. Cubsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Angels vs. Dodgersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 6 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+229.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Titans vs. Chargersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$23.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.