TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Astros vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Astros, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,188 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5fb…84b5backed Rangers73c26,859$19,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,168.656157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Astros46c20,431$9,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,398.0427948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Astros26c17,150$4,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,416.992,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Astros38c16,761$6,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,398.341,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Rangers54c16,396$8,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,542.3750852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Rangers56c14,303$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,303.3420850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Rangers62c8,284$5,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,137.2814966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Astros30c6,085$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.881,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Astros37c5,237$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.819,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Rangers55c2,664$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.2239041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8acf…0dcebacked Rangers54c2,370$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Astros46c2,333$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.133644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe80d…f284backed Astros46c2,100$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcf…d6a9backed Rangers54c2,005$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.32864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb703…6f88backed Astros46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9202030%6 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros42c1,918$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.11,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eae…79d5backed Astros46c1,880$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Rangers53c1,452$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.0460249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Astros36c1,380$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.6979740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa342…222fbacked Rangers54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf75…7352backed Astros46c1,095$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.71020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9eb…a6c9backed Astros46c1,090$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc80f…7bc7backed Rangers54c1,085$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc17…7b65backed Rangers54c1,081$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe923…e0fabacked Rangers54c1,019$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Rangers53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47010746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Astros47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…118cbacked Rangers54c944$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e8…437cbacked Rangers54c936$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.56757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Rangers54c922.22$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.226753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Astros46c747.35$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7830842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9d…33ccbacked Rangers55c670$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b6c…edddbacked Astros45c670$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Astros46c648.71$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4114539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Astros45c646$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.291,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros45c627.16$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.252,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Astros14c603.85$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…a6dbbacked Astros46c600$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2785642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Rangers55c503.11$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1611554.8%63 W · 52 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Astros22c453.82$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.281,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Astros39c432$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8843250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Astros30c422.5$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rangers53c422.22$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.2299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Astros47c413.23$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3380955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Rangers55c399.97$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9991749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfceb…37dabacked Rangers55c374.62$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.581275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff5c…ccbdbacked Astros47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020448.5%99 W · 105 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers74c304.05$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0568656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Astros44c283.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.331,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4447…4f5abacked Astros26c280$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1999…fedbbacked Rangers56c255.34$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.661553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Astros46c246.03$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8119849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Astros44c244.01$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.377451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Astros45c209.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.285,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Astros46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98f…a7b9backed Rangers55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros47c158.72$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.62,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Rangers77c125.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9723938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Astros45c125.44$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1985047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Rangers55c109$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0523753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Astros44c106$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6451955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers53c103.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.733349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Astros49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Astros46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4646753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3043…2cbbbacked Rangers56c94.9$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb0…8de9backed Rangers56c89.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.39988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Rangers56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2913254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1220…a4f4backed Rangers56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c31…a0c5backed Rangers55c82.84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.28966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Rangers52c67.35$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.339448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd0…6995backed Astros45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Astros46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Astros47c50.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5319356.5%109 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Rangers54c48.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1525954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Astros46c47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.621,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Rangers56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6455152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf391…73c3backed Astros45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029552.2%154 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b6…27ddbacked Astros45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c1…c084backed Astros47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+86%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd737…71bbbacked Astros46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xafc9…97acbacked Rangers56c39.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7942…25a5backed Astros47c38.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eff…4ba2backed Astros45c38.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Rangers75c38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.48530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Astros46c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.931,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Rangers55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3634264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06ea…a4b6backed Rangers57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.099148.4%44 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Astros45c35.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.582488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ecd…8ee4backed Astros47c34.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.371533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a6d…5c60backed Astros47c33.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.841735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70d7…62e6backed Astros47c31.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31f2…15e5backed Astros47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ef…40dbbacked Rangers56c31.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.021758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc38d…7637backed Astros47c31.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.911553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a3…8b71backed Rangers55c30.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.791464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1013…d0cabacked Rangers56c30.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.41872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Astros46c30.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7237552.5%197 W · 178 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Rangers54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.820954.5%114 W · 95 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.