TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c31…a0c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST3250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$13.26
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$44.42
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Suns vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$13.15
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.76
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.65
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.49
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$24.79
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.86
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$30.94
Nets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$24.45
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+117.4%+$12.76
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$19.61
Wild vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Oilers vs. Penguinsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$17.35
Islanders vs. Red Wingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$32.5
Sharks vs. Flyersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Ducks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Flames vs. Canucksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+132.6%+$14.58
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.94
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.08
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+251%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$41.4
Will the match between Fenerbahce and Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$29.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Titans vs. Lionsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.