MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5817d46d1035f2e719bbfe7c384f665701953cbc813446ba2b08ccab65f25f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb75…098bbacked Twins | 46c | 36,750$16,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,845 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3394…2373backed Orioles | 54c | 33,550$18,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d8…bb1bbacked Orioles | 54c | 26,847$14,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,497.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0b…1d34backed Twins | 46c | 25,350$11,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,689 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Orioles | 55c | 20,395$11,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,217.17 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Twins | 44c | 18,125$7,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,150.13 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Twins | 45c | 14,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 56c | 10,167$5,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.42 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 16c | 9,416$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.93 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 45c | 6,871$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.48 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Orioles | 55c | 4,339$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.12 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Twins | 47c | 3,531$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Orioles | 54c | 2,790$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.58 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Twins | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Orioles | 55c | 2,007$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.85 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Twins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 23c | 1,765$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efd…be4cbacked Orioles | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 44c | 1,586$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.91 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Orioles | 56c | 1,506$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.8 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Twins | 46c | 1,432$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Twins | 45c | 1,397$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.47 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Twins | 46c | 1,218$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.65 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Orioles | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.83 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Twins | 46c | 1,002$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.04 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Orioles | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Twins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Orioles | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Orioles | 56c | 999.97$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.52 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 45c | 958.57$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.49 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Orioles | 57c | 765.84$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Orioles | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 12c | 544.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Orioles | 2c | 542.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Twins | 46c | 525.91$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.99 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Twins | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Twins | 44c | 499.92$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.95 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 67c | 491$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.41 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…eb96backed Orioles | 55c | 450$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Twins | 40c | 444$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 3c | 399.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 18c | 386.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 54c | 361.58$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Orioles | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 12c | 326.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…814abacked Twins | 79c | 294.97$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…942abacked Orioles | 56c | 267.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 54c | 260.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…d4c3backed Orioles | 57c | 235.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Orioles | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 55c | 184.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Orioles | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 44c | 160.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Twins | 45c | 154$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1588…0f2fbacked Orioles | 14c | 146.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Orioles | 55c | 120.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Orioles | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Orioles | 56c | 111.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Twins | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Twins | 50c | 100.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Twins | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Orioles | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…fbe4backed Orioles | 55c | 88.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Orioles | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…a0c5backed Orioles | 56c | 71.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Twins | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…4f5abacked Orioles | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Orioles | 45c | 55.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Orioles | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Orioles | 56c | 54.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Orioles | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…9ea3backed Twins | 44c | 53.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79b…0fe0backed Twins | 46c | 51.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Orioles | 56c | 50.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Orioles | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Twins | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…1a6ebacked Twins | 46c | 49.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ea…bf18backed Twins | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f92…35a7backed Orioles | 57c | 46.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Twins | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Orioles | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…e68bbacked Orioles | 56c | 44.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a93…adb8backed Twins | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…e85ebacked Twins | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Twins | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8faf…2575backed Twins | 44c | 42.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Twins | 46c | 41.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Orioles | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…4202backed Twins | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b21…7895backed Orioles | 55c | 39.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956e…8d01backed Orioles | 57c | 38.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Orioles | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…3c31backed Orioles | 57c | 34.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Orioles | 56c | 33.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…bb3fbacked Twins | 44c | 32.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…4f12backed Orioles | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…5ad8backed Orioles | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…825abacked Twins | 45c | 28.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.