TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf088…4942

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4131.7%13 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.46
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.03
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.57
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.72
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.07
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$124.29
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.88
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.86
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.13
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$66.86
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$10.13
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$19.76
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.94
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.76
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+124.4%+$49.77
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Witkoff be next National Security Advisor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+59.2%+$119.25
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.68
Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.47
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+74.1%+$18.53
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.99
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.39
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+43.7%+$21.84
Supreme Court unblocks Alien Enemies Act?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$53.13
Trump cabinet member out before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.6
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+62.4%+$38.85
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$26
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+123.1%+$234.91
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+94.8%+$61.62
US military action against Iran before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.46
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.55
US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$62.35
Will Trump cut NPR funding in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$24.89
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+84.4%+$12.65
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Pakistan before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.87
Trump Travel Ban Before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+50.2%+$18.56
Will Trump invoke Alien Enemies Act for deportations to Guantanamo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.6
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Inter Miami CF beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.25
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.6
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$146.24
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$277.95
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$315.18
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$101.68
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Inter win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.02
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.92
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$26.59
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$8.06
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will Benfica vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+136.6%+$81.96
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+207.7%+$87.41
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Will Real Madrid beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$14.06
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$45
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$34.02
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$259.99
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.02
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.06
Will Trump say "Canada" 7+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.01
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.03
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$79.07
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+124.1%+$16.13
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Europa League Finalbacked Tottenham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.97
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lazio win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.94
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.99
Fenerbahce vs. Rangers, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.32
Will Ajax win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$36.45
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$27.08
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$25.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Red Wings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$11.74
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.23
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$74.27
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Twins vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.14
White Sox vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$20.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.12
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+58%+$33.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+47.8%+$18.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.