Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f37acc2bd6bf5a9253cda3f79ab59d182fef0aea3c6961bf3c921fb92bb157e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 14c | 69,938$9,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,791.26 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 14c | 12,393$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.43 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 13c | 11,778$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.77 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 15c | 5,487$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 16c | 5,050$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 14c | 2,856$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 15c | 2,016$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.38 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 13c | 2,000$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.65 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 18c | 1,942$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.53 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 15c | 1,849$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.78 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…2d2dbacked No | 15c | 1,598$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 15c | 1,158$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.65 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 15c | 1,100$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 14c | 1,056$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 17c | 626.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 15c | 598$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 15c | 530.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 17c | 440.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked No | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 17c | 399.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 17c | 395.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 19c | 349.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 14c | 286$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed No | 15c | 269.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 16c | 262$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 80c | 250$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 18c | 228.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 23c | 199.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…702abacked No | 16c | 175.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…1308backed No | 15c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…61a8backed No | 16c | 169.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…b1dfbacked No | 16c | 160.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…ff68backed No | 16c | 119.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 77c | 76.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 17c | 69.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 18c | 64.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Yes | 76c | 41.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 73c | 37.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 76c | 22.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-26?this page
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-26?No won
- Will Newcastle vs. Ipswich end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.