MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bc52bdbcd52df73bc7cd26634b960c298119bc4a6705c4d3d0ba05e65649cd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof White Sox, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Reds | 70c | 68,820$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,820.42 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…d226backed White Sox | 32c | 35,189$11,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,260.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…f78ebacked Reds | 68c | 32,689$22,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,460.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked White Sox | 31c | 21,146$6,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,555.37 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox | 31c | 15,976$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968.03 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox | 30c | 11,322$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.3 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 31c | 10,394$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.34 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4a…cb64backed White Sox | 33c | 9,998$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…83f6backed Reds | 67c | 9,998$6,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed White Sox | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 25c | 3,117$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.13 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed White Sox | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…47acbacked White Sox | 33c | 2,100$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Reds | 69c | 2,018$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.58 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed White Sox | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed White Sox | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2efd…be4cbacked Reds | 68c | 1,906$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed White Sox | 16c | 1,553$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.29 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed White Sox | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ea…f8fdbacked Reds | 67c | 1,075$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…c0fdbacked Reds | 67c | 1,025$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed White Sox | 31c | 868.77$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.32 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 31c | 702.87$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.89 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed White Sox | 33c | 590.91$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 66c | 546.01$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed White Sox | 33c | 504.03$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed White Sox | 13c | 381.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…eb96backed Reds | 67c | 380$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 14c | 337.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999c…c507backed Reds | 67c | 318$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed White Sox | 7c | 317$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed White Sox | 32c | 316$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed White Sox | 33c | 306.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed White Sox | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed White Sox | 30c | 291$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed White Sox | 34c | 284.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Reds | 67c | 248$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked White Sox | 8c | 231.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…814abacked Reds | 69c | 216.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Reds | 68c | 202.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…2a18backed Reds | 68c | 177$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox | 34c | 176.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Reds | 67c | 149.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked White Sox | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…1c86backed Reds | 68c | 99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Reds | 67c | 95.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…aa2cbacked White Sox | 34c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 32c | 75.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ef…dc31backed Reds | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked White Sox | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…e408backed White Sox | 21c | 71.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed White Sox | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Reds | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed White Sox | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed White Sox | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Reds | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Reds | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…9057backed Reds | 67c | 50.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…9547backed White Sox | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…b634backed Reds | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Reds | 67c | 44.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…c1c7backed White Sox | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked White Sox | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Reds | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked White Sox | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d0…1b91backed Reds | 67c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…e85ebacked White Sox | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Reds | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Reds | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Reds | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Reds | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Reds | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.