TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff24…c1c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST4841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$44.67
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+809.1%+$121.36
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$30.91
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.18
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$30.22
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$12.91
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$14.57
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.92
Stars vs. Hurricanesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.45
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.07
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+100%+$25.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mets vs. Yankeesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
White Sox vs. Redsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Twins vs. Oriolesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$11.45
Red Sox vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$12.49
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will Fenerbahce beat AZ Alkmaar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$10.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$55.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.