NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f47e7fd2dcc644a2385e8af911fc05302773482bd21fe1a83b729e8ee4b68f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Devils, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,024,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,046,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,024,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,042 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Islanders | 50c | 219,196$109,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,006.67 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Devils | 50c | 102,135$51,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,067.71 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Devils | 51c | 71,262$36,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,043.83 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Islanders | 50c | 70,000$34,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,199.98 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 50c | 67,349$33,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,824.62 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Devils | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Devils | 54c | 43,102$23,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,109.69 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Devils | 55c | 36,965$20,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,330.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Devils | 51c | 22,270$11,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,357.94 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Islanders | 45c | 22,196$9,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,207.86 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Devils | 50c | 16,135$8,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,121.74 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Devils | 51c | 16,083$8,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,202.58 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Devils | 51c | 15,771$7,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,988.46 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Devils | 52c | 15,761$8,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,195.61 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…6b51backed Devils | 53c | 13,841$7,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,335.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 51c | 12,339$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,270.47 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Islanders | 47c | 11,745$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,224.68 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Devils | 16c | 9,778$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.6 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Devils | 52c | 9,067$4,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.62 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28cf…1a5fbacked Devils | 4c | 9,064$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Devils | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589.98 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Devils | 51c | 8,810$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.19 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders | 48c | 7,157$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,721.66 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Devils | 51c | 7,008$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.87 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Islanders | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Islanders | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Devils | 52c | 6,390$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Islanders | 78c | 6,323$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.05 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Islanders | 46c | 5,620$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.81 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Islanders | 46c | 5,500$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Islanders | 46c | 5,373$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.39 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Devils | 0c | 5,228$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Devils | 52c | 5,202$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.04 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Devils | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…bb31backed Islanders | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Devils | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Devils | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Islanders | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Devils | 54c | 4,853$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Devils | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Devils | 0c | 4,098$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Islanders | 46c | 4,074$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.93 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Devils | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Islanders | 47c | 3,996$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Devils | 52c | 3,925$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.22 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Devils | 52c | 3,502$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.22 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Devils | 51c | 3,363$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Islanders | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.82 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Devils | 11c | 3,333$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.63 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Devils | 51c | 3,270$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.7 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Islanders | 49c | 3,269$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.19 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Islanders | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Devils | 52c | 2,960$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.29 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Devils | 51c | 2,575$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.17 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 48c | 2,136$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.96 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c2…7a52backed Devils | 17c | 2,135$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Islanders | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Islanders | 47c | 2,061$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.36 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Islanders | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Islanders | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Islanders | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.96 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Islanders | 47c | 1,872$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.34 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 51c | 1,853$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.66 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf965…9e79backed Devils | 2c | 1,766$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Devils | 50c | 1,689$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.73 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Devils | 17c | 1,632$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.06 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Islanders | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.74 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Islanders | 80c | 1,518$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Islanders | 55c | 1,500$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.57 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e5…c67abacked Devils | 51c | 1,497$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e8…e15bbacked Islanders | 49c | 1,497$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…2a81backed Islanders | 49c | 1,497$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…3ed7backed Devils | 51c | 1,497$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…681abacked Devils | 51c | 1,495$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3193…9fefbacked Devils | 51c | 1,495$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…c256backed Islanders | 49c | 1,495$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…1ec8backed Devils | 51c | 1,495$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f72…dff4backed Islanders | 49c | 1,495$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3d…7b6ebacked Islanders | 49c | 1,495$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc523…7ee6backed Devils | 51c | 1,493$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…17ccbacked Islanders | 49c | 1,493$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…752ebacked Islanders | 49c | 1,489$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bc22backed Devils | 51c | 1,489$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…bd84backed Islanders | 49c | 1,487$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…cb2abacked Devils | 51c | 1,487$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d9…1b33backed Islanders | 49c | 1,486$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…030dbacked Devils | 51c | 1,486$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…448bbacked Devils | 51c | 1,485$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…4b7ebacked Islanders | 49c | 1,485$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c7…ed7fbacked Islanders | 49c | 1,482$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe492…8ec1backed Devils | 51c | 1,482$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…f521backed Islanders | 49c | 1,480$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…029ebacked Devils | 51c | 1,480$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…3f3cbacked Islanders | 49c | 1,479$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…b840backed Devils | 51c | 1,478$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…3c4bbacked Devils | 51c | 1,478$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8517…8c48backed Islanders | 49c | 1,478$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Islandersthis page
- Devils vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Islanders won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.