NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d6a131994e3875cc09a053022ae51ac13598ef28eaac98993978c2a70661fb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,401,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,519,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,401,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 695 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Pacers | 12c | 250,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220,000 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers | 11c | 176,287$19,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,895.56 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Pacers | 12c | 110,685$13,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,402.97 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 42c | 91,529$38,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,087.62 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Pacers | 12c | 63,083$7,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,513.33 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…858dbacked Pacers | 11c | 54,545$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,545.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Pacers | 11c | 38,192$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,990.68 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Pacers | 10c | 37,462$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,617.63 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Pacers | 54c | 31,474$16,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,545.54 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers | 13c | 30,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,100 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers | 11c | 30,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,799.96 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 59c | 29,006$17,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,088.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Pacers | 13c | 28,131$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,473.97 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Thunder | 49c | 24,569$12,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,090.63 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 12c | 23,495$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,675.6 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 39c | 22,169$8,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,606.31 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 42c | 21,364$8,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,870.54 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pacers | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,599.99 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers | 38c | 19,319$7,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,070.4 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Thunder | 74c | 13,720$10,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,136.34 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…a09ebacked Thunder | 49c | 13,684$6,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,649.43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers | 68c | 12,856$8,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,063.39 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Pacers | 23c | 12,581$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,702.09 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 12c | 12,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,560 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Thunder | 38c | 11,968$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Thunder | 67c | 11,922$8,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,012.73 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 14c | 11,001$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.7 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pacers | 11c | 10,909$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,709.02 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Thunder | 0c | 10,835$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Pacers | 74c | 10,648$7,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.38 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Pacers | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Pacers | 13c | 10,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,750 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Thunder | 12c | 10,000$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.36 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 67c | 9,746$6,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,519.36 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed Thunder | 79c | 9,718$7,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,684.38 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Pacers | 10c | 9,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.94 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Pacers | 37c | 9,435$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,907.09 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Thunder | 74c | 9,421$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.92 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pacers | 12c | 9,301$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,184.62 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Pacers | 12c | 9,167$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,066.67 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pacers | 11c | 8,706$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,705.6 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pacers | 29c | 8,558$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,054.87 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pacers | 77c | 7,311$5,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.09 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 69c | 7,300$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Pacers | 12c | 7,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,160 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Pacers | 12c | 6,891$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.57 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Pacers | 70c | 6,565$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.79 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbc…0f5cbacked Thunder | 1c | 6,444$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Thunder | 57c | 6,367$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Thunder | 75c | 6,140$4,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,591.86 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Pacers | 69c | 6,025$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.36 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…7e38backed Thunder | 77c | 6,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Thunder | 4c | 5,774$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Thunder | 2c | 5,679$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Thunder | 14c | 5,493$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.25 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Pacers | 42c | 5,471$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.46 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Pacers | 42c | 5,338$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.12 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…e150backed Thunder | 60c | 5,243$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked Pacers | 19c | 5,188$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 11c | 5,050$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pacers | 11c | 5,021$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468.78 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Thunder | 56c | 5,003$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.59 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.02 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Pacers | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pacers | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Thunder | 2c | 4,761$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Pacers | 22c | 4,553$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.97 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Thunder | 67c | 4,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbede…fd53backed Pacers | 12c | 4,463$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Thunder | 35c | 4,326$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.74 | 247 | 52.6%130 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Pacers | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.67 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Pacers | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.98 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7671…7244backed Thunder | 75c | 3,912$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Pacers | 73c | 3,646$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.26 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Pacers | 39c | 3,607$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.29 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pacers | 20c | 3,559$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.75 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Thunder | 57c | 3,530$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Thunder | 64c | 3,470$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.12 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Pacers | 27c | 3,441$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pacers | 12c | 3,333$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.33 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Thunder | 72c | 3,310$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.43 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Pacers | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec9…8d0bbacked Thunder | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…506ebacked Pacers | 11c | 2,960$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.39 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Thunder | 58c | 2,925$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.59 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 51c | 2,889$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Pacers | 28c | 2,800$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfed…c501backed Thunder | 60c | 2,680$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 71c | 2,638$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…eee8backed Pacers | 39c | 2,538$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.46 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pacers | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Pacers | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Pacers | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.93 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Thunder | 73c | 2,491$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Pacers | 53c | 2,433$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.3 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Thunder | 12c | 2,420$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…3c01backed Pacers | 45c | 2,395$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pacers | 12c | 2,270$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.24 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Pacers | 15c | 2,205$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.74 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed Pacers | 12c | 2,129$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.45 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Thunderthis page
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.