NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1f15e076f242e8d6b7ba509610ed9c6d2c25b9afd329a9c4283bb8de5d542f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Thunder, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 53c | 56,876$30,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,132.94 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pacers | 51c | 30,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,799.99 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Thunder | 50c | 25,486$12,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,688.2 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…e842backed Pacers | 47c | 18,962$8,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,049.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Thunder | 49c | 15,820$7,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,751.8 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…8863backed Pacers | 47c | 14,771$6,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,828.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 11,005$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,459.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pacers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers | 50c | 10,000$5,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,981.04 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Thunder | 53c | 9,332$4,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,946 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Thunder | 41c | 9,115$3,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.99 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Thunder | 16c | 8,509$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.94 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Thunder | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Pacers | 51c | 7,647$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.06 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 48c | 6,962$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Pacers | 47c | 4,606$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.31 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 50c | 4,545$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers | 49c | 4,363$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pacers | 49c | 4,257$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.32 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Pacers | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 49c | 4,081$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.69 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Thunder | 49c | 4,024$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.79 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 51c | 3,989$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.66 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 50c | 3,842$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.96 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Pacers | 47c | 3,834$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.19 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 49c | 3,313$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.45 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 11c | 3,219$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.94 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Thunder | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.9 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Pacers | 47c | 2,651$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.27 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Thunder | 50c | 2,523$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.69 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Pacers | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Thunder | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…1633backed Pacers | 48c | 2,411$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers | 51c | 1,949$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.47 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Thunder | 51c | 1,849$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.31 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pacers | 51c | 1,760$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.39 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Pacers | 47c | 1,743$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.55 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Pacers | 50c | 1,520$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Pacers | 51c | 1,494$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.17 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Pacers | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.55 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,089$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.74 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pacers | 49c | 999.51$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.65 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Thunder | 56c | 889.99$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.4 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Pacers | 47c | 872.75$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.56 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Thunder | 29c | 857.09$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.82 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Thunder | 49c | 700$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.24 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Pacers | 72c | 669$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.07 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Pacers | 44c | 657.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.04 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Pacers | 70c | 637.58$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.14 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Thunder | 53c | 566.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.41 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Thunder | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Pacers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Thunder | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd0…f83dbacked Thunder | 50c | 498$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a736backed Thunder | 50c | 468$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pacers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Thunder | 52c | 376.17$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.61 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Pacers | 51c | 362$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 35c | 320.68$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Thunder | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Thunder | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Thunder | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Thunder | 50c | 299.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Thunder | 51c | 294$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Pacers | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Thunder | 49c | 257.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pacers | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Pacers | 50c | 229.81$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…9228backed Pacers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Pacers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Pacers | 49c | 204.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 13c | 203.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Pacers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…7e38backed Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Pacers | 76c | 194.47$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Pacers | 80c | 193.87$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Pacers | 51c | 189.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Thunder | 50c | 158.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Pacers | 75c | 153.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Thunder | 51c | 152$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Thunder | 51c | 149.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Thunder | 54c | 148.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…5160backed Thunder | 18c | 125.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Pacers | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Thunder | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Thunder | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Thunder | 52c | 114.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Thunder | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Thunder | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pacers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Pacers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Pacers | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pacers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)this page
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. ThunderPacers won
- Pacers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.