NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0303443e7c77a0bdbea7e3ef1b08dba45fded40f1b2bd642b3e7e44dd8aaaa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Thunder, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Pacers | 52c | 7,834$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.17 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 48c | 5,142$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.74 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pacers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.96 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a2e8backed Thunder | 48c | 2,600$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Thunder | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.34 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Pacers | 52c | 1,820$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.74 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Pacers | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.51 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Thunder | 47c | 1,133$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.51 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Thunder | 48c | 1,038$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 34c | 696.12$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Thunder | 10c | 599.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…effbbacked Thunder | 48c | 562.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Thunder | 20c | 500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Thunder | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 47c | 399.2$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.67 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Pacers | 54c | 377.02$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pacers | 56c | 358.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Thunder | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Thunder | 48c | 285.42$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 44c | 276.29$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 47c | 252$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Thunder | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 45c | 222.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Thunder | 49c | 222.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Thunder | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…9228backed Thunder | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers | 52c | 194.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…0d24backed Pacers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Pacers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Thunder | 48c | 178$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Thunder | 47c | 176.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Thunder | 47c | 163.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Thunder | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…c090backed Pacers | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 48c | 128$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Thunder | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Thunder | 46c | 111.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 48c | 111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Thunder | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Thunder | 46c | 107.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Pacers | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Thunder | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Pacers | 56c | 81.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Thunder | 44c | 81.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 46c | 75.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 52c | 67.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 47c | 66.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…46f8backed Pacers | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pacers | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed Pacers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…c2f6backed Pacers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…bf68backed Pacers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…2c0bbacked Pacers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…7011backed Pacers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7b…5b9ebacked Pacers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…06b4backed Pacers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…25bbbacked Pacers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…3117backed Pacers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5a…0f0cbacked Pacers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…4781backed Pacers | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab7…982cbacked Thunder | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b3…0601backed Pacers | 53c | 41.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…899ebacked Thunder | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pacers | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Thunder | 48c | 40.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Pacers | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pacers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Thunder | 48c | 32.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 48c | 31.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Thunder | 45c | 30.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Pacers | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 46c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…7581backed Pacers | 53c | 28.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Thunder | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…dc78backed Pacers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…f54cbacked Pacers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6235…9297backed Pacers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Thunder | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Thunder | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Pacers | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Pacers | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Pacers | 54c | 19.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)this page
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. ThunderPacers won
- Pacers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.