NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd09f90e098b00314e896f99f161b2d017be441ed9c6b42fbf25d3b3b1b915674
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $616,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 462,603$239,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222,606.28 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 284,151$136,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,392.28 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 99,109$47,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,572.28 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 49c | 44,294$21,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,704.05 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.93 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Over | 51c | 15,284$7,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,489.29 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 13,691$6,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,767.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 10,251$5,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125.56 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 49c | 7,999$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.57 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 48c | 7,777$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.96 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 52c | 6,767$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.46 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9080…d00abacked Under | 49c | 6,695$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 6,200$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 48c | 5,005$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.23 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.96 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 4,857$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.15 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 4,611$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.35 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Under | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a736backed Under | 49c | 4,490$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 51c | 2,930$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.69 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 49c | 2,744$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.06 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Under | 48c | 2,446$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.08 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 2,342$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 51c | 1,530$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.3 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 1,457$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 1,421$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.5 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 49c | 1,355$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.95 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 39c | 1,298$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.02 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 1,294$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.06 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 22c | 1,271$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.25 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 1,239$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.57 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 1,056$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.51 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 997$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 48c | 949.8$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.9 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 43c | 900.11$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.74 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 50c | 886$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 48c | 868.65$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.95 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 54c | 860$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.2 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 859.92$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.76 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…92f4backed Over | 51c | 844$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 50c | 820$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 51c | 799.97$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…c9bfbacked Over | 51c | 748.86$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.94 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 49c | 626.53$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 51c | 588.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 24c | 578.25$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.89 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Over | 52c | 480.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.79 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 448.98$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Under | 49c | 440$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe68…0895backed Over | 52c | 413.46$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 400.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 25c | 375.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 50c | 370.5$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.25 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 361$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.89 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Over | 52c | 356.46$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 50c | 337.74$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 50c | 322.07$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 51c | 309.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Over | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…9f73backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…51f2backed Under | 49c | 288$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 261.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 256.26$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb647…12f7backed Under | 49c | 256$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Under | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 249.51$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 30c | 246.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.88 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 208.33$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 49c | 206.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…250fbacked Over | 52c | 205.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…9228backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 200.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 192$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5this page
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. ThunderPacers won
- Pacers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.