TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9714…3014

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
306
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST12054.2%65 W · 55 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$45
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$92
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100.44
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$62.42
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$39.2
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$53.01
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.52
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$150
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$176
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$147
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$224.97
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+48.7%+$393
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$157
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2969%20 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$273.64
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$175
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$706.44
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.8%+$225
Musetti vs. Fritz: Match O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$214.17
Musetti vs. Fritz: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$427
Musetti vs. Fritz: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$203.66
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$98.86
Australian Open Men's: Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25%+$60
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)backed Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$124.25
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+27.2%+$107
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$59.2
Australian Open Women's: Katerina Siniakova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$33.6
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)backed Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$174.9
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$33.99
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Sinner vs. Shelton: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23.79
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+135.3%+$57.5
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$51
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Comesanabacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$16.8
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinnbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$16.24
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Marcos Gironbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$290.4
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$333.24
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$180
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+58.2%+$95.6
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40%+$156.2
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$104.99
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$90
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100.75
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$81.97
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$274.49
Will Konyaspor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22.91
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.8
Will AZ win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$21.45
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$22.57
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$38.99
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$77.38
FC Barcelona vs. FC København: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$106.93
Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$207
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+138.1%+$29
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+37%+$39.15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.8
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$54.78
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$27.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$27.3
SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$20.64
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+30.5%+$117.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$336
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$98
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$18
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$134
Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40.59
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+65.7%+$119
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$46
Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$36.6
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$37.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+37%+$32.4
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)backed Lille OSC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$28.8
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$36.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+222.6%+$69
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$29.3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+154.5%+$60.7
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20.32
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$111.42
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+104.5%+$153.3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25.79
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$77.73
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will StandX launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$523.64
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$75.39
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$842Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.4%+$281.12
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$109.4
Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+36.6%+$85.8
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$55.48
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,307Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+52.8%+$689.36
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31%+$355
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.23
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$40.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$84
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$213
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25.8%+$123
Spread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)backed Atletico Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+73.9%+$85
Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$50.8
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Spread: Real Madrid (-0.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18
Genoa CFC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$23.2
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick54cpaid-71.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$69.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$188.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.