TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Marcos Giron

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Altmaierof Altmaier, Giron
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Giron23c5,735$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.128,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Giron33c4,855$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.0411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb672…e4e3backed Altmaier72c2,644$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.681855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Giron21c2,273$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4615832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Altmaier62c1,967$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.311353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Giron62c1,910$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.464930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Giron33c1,817$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.9628952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b1…4cbcbacked Altmaier38c1,731$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd2…f13ebacked Giron62c1,731$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.2230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1544…6f27backed Altmaier76c1,650$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.54040%16 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Giron26c1,529$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.632,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Giron23c1,319$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.0665242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Altmaier40c1,249$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.557152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giron62c954.27$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.231,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88ce…cb62backed Altmaier38c947.37$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.371844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Altmaier38c908.24$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.111030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Altmaier38c803.13$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49859151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Giron14c705.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Altmaier38c654.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.1910251%52 W · 50 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Giron65c615.14$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.849452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Giron60c611.95$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.751,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Altmaier70c598$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.381,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Altmaier73c528.64$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.732147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad1e…6b90backed Altmaier76c501.87$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.452166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Altmaier37c432.43$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.4330339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51c6…c26dbacked Altmaier63c402$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.741346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Altmaier38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2486046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Altmaier72c395.83$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8320257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Altmaier38c394.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.742733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Altmaier37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Altmaier38c265.74$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7696035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Altmaier64c243.01$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.011369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+71.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc46c…7ffcbacked Altmaier37c220$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Altmaier37c210$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.340141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Giron63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12618943.4%82 W · 107 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Giron60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205050%25 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Giron27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5424340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb82…69adbacked Altmaier78c193.06$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.47650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd891…7341backed Altmaier76c164.39$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9912161.2%74 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Giron64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0891…a84dbacked Giron28c143.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.751729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…1278backed Altmaier73c136.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.981258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Altmaier75c134.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.07875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Altmaier38c132.3$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5724529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Altmaier78c128.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.983066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Altmaier78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2110457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d1…4ebcbacked Giron60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Altmaier73c110$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.68248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Altmaier35c103.61$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6773048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Altmaier35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6510846.3%50 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x296e…a116backed Giron60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Giron15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ceb…1952backed Altmaier78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226055%33 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3731…405fbacked Giron29c93.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f4…e02fbacked Altmaier76c91.77$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.03825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Altmaier60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.486470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Altmaier38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.622840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Altmaier36c70.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.977149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc1…6362backed Altmaier72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…96bbbacked Altmaier74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1c…2bccbacked Altmaier38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.792152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Giron46c65.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17c8…b9f7backed Altmaier62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.522040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87dc…a465backed Altmaier78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.15273.1%38 W · 14 L-0.2wins0.00per pick73cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…7b28backed Giron62c63.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Giron64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f42…5b96backed Altmaier75c61.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Giron31c60.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.685225%13 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Giron58c59.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5149749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Altmaier44c56.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.436047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a0…8208backed Altmaier38c56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.721266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5398…a8a9backed Giron62c56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.721145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3124…014bbacked Giron33c49.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.512030%6 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-30.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe259…d295backed Altmaier38c47.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+103.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Giron61c46.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.159741.2%40 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Altmaier37c40.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2644125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e74…d044backed Altmaier72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.212156.2%68 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7591…509dbacked Altmaier74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Giron54c38.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7818447.3%87 W · 97 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Giron55c35.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.522454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Altmaier61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.796675.8%50 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7860…604abacked Giron63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6103…3b6bbacked Giron65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204060%24 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07e…b88ebacked Giron62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31d6…d617backed Altmaier60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Altmaier64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82969%20 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb1…982dbacked Altmaier38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe4a…9373backed Giron65c28.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7612974.4%96 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Altmaier70c25.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad7e…e189backed Altmaier78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.643476.5%26 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick74cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Altmaier39c25.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3963942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bba…fe34backed Altmaier79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Altmaier75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2523852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6db…fc65backed Altmaier78c24.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e7…d7a8backed Altmaier73c21.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.77425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe97f…a29cbacked Altmaier72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6778…f89dbacked Altmaier76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a3…8b15backed Altmaier73c16.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.339100%9 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Altmaier75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7534842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.