TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x51c6…c26d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$82.58
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$2,193.67
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$107.04
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$649.87
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Marcos Gironbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$148.74
Rolex Paris Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$61.38
Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$767.55
Guangzhou Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynetsbacked Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.8
Guangzhou Open: Anna Bondar vs Hanyu Guobacked Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.36
Pan Pacific Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Maya Jointbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10.57
Will World win the Laver Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.14
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+112%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$151.42
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$162.24
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Slavia Praha vs. Bodo/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$23.99
Will Celtic vs. FC Kairat Almaty end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$262.31
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$110.29
Will Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw after regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Al Hilal beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.2
Will Fluminense beat Al Hilal in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$104.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-79.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+162.8%+$104.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+106.3%+$115.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$61.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland vs. KuPS end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Will Hernandez win by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.