Cricket · resolved market
Will India win the match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e78209968217e919f79482aee17642e8af1d3baec62db41c34a36decf3351b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b05…dad9backed Yes | 29c | 3,414$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 5c | 2,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 17c | 1,978$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.5 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 76c | 1,813$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 71c | 1,771$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.89 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…a2bcbacked Yes | 32c | 900.69$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +281.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 26c | 873.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 65c | 858.44$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…7ba8backed Yes | 16c | 692.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +204.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 62c | 572.53$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 31c | 541.54$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.36 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 439.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.01 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 63c | 421.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…b18ebacked Yes | 28c | 386.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…c26dbacked Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…af50backed Yes | 70c | 314.62$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 69c | 244.24$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.45 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes | 56c | 241.19$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 36c | 240.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c58…b4e0backed Yes | 74c | 203.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 29c | 166.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed No | 56c | 160.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 158.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 23c | 154$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x856c…727dbacked Yes | 71c | 140.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb998…75d0backed Yes | 29c | 126.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed No | 70c | 119.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd266…ae96backed Yes | 24c | 110.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…5c06backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…245abacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5750…bb8dbacked Yes | 24c | 83.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 61c | 77.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…678fbacked Yes | 23c | 67.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 21c | 67.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…0d8bbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…c799backed Yes | 39c | 55.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…e05cbacked Yes | 34c | 50.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +193.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…6c00backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…d641backed Yes | 39c | 47.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…4072backed Yes | 31c | 43.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbb…5462backed Yes | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 62c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 62c | 30.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will India win the match?this page
- Will England vs. India end in a draw?No won
- Will England win the match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.