Cricket · resolved market
Will England vs. India end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a194195cb6a0b3899c81b292a0c2a378d9bdbd29dec7ad6d15d96b5696bcf95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 12,461$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 11c | 4,427$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.75 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…7ba8backed Yes | 7c | 4,112$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +204.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 1,520$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bf…aed1backed Yes | 3c | 1,018$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 4c | 766.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…4822backed No | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 33c | 400$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 74c | 389.51$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b26…6dc6backed No | 69c | 363.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…96d6backed Yes | 37c | 347.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…e497backed Yes | 26c | 341.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 35c | 314.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…c26dbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 15c | 223.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…6c9bbacked Yes | 7c | 193.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c58…b4e0backed Yes | 17c | 116.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 19c | 100.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…6217backed Yes | 52c | 95.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 71c | 91.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…b18ebacked Yes | 18c | 64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf97…9f8abacked Yes | 28c | 61.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 76c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 69c | 47.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed No | 73c | 35.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England vs. India end in a draw?this page
- Will England win the match?No won
- Will India win the match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.