TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97cc…bbbf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
509
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST5935.6%21 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$26.49
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$144.34
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$99.84
Will Evelyn Matthei come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will JA21 win 11–12 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will D66 win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+45.9%+$28.31
Will GL/PvdA win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$29.4
Will VVD win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$190.43
Will CDA win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+99.9%+$194.86
Will D66 win 20 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$59.08
Will D66 win 16–17 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will D66 win fewer than 16 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$53.26
Will CDA win 28 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$19.2
Will VVD win fewer than 14 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32.03
Democrats 66 (D66) win 10% or more of votes in Netherlands election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$37.83
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+133.1%+$228.43
Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+28.5%+$11.09
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$340.46
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.05
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+53.4%+$34.8
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.68
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT5856.9%33 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will NYCFC beat Columbus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.84
MLS: Will NYCFC vs. Columbus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.7
MLS: Will Houston vs. LA Galaxy end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.01
MLS: Will Vancouver vs. Houston end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.16
MLS: Will San Jose vs. San Diego end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.98
MLS: Will San Jose beat San Diego?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$10.36
MLS: Will NYCFC vs. Nashville end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.37
MLS: Will NYCFC beat Nashville?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.47
MLS: Will Nashville beat NYCFC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
MLS: Will Orlando City beat Sporting Kansas City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.52
MLS: Will Portland beat FC Cincinnati?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$5.95
MLS: Will FC Cincinnati beat Portland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.44
MLS: Will Portland vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
MLS: Will Chicago beat St. Louis City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.82
MLS: Will Colorado vs. Atlanta end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.52
MLS: Will Colorado beat Atlanta?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.4
MLS: Will Atlanta beat Colorado?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$13.53
MLS: Will Minnesota beat Seattle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.6
MLS: Will Austin FC beat FC Dallas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$59.8
MLS: Will Inter Miami beat LA Galaxy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.16
MLS: Will Red Bulls beat Philadelphia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.96
MLS: Will Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.75
MLS: Will Philadelphia beat Red Bulls?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$9
MLS: Will Columbus Crew beat Toronto FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$32.34
MLS: Will Toronto FC beat Columbus Crew?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.48
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST5244.2%23 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+25%+$3.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.5
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.68
IDF Chief Eyal  Zamir out by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+95.4%+$19.53
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$95.1
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+48.7%+$62.26
Will Israel strike Yemen 1 times by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.22
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.9
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 12 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.7
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 9 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.12
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.26
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.98
Israel strike on Damascus by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$20.19
Israeli parliament dissolved by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.12
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$248.75
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.51
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.12
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.65
Will France airdrop aid into Gaza?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.22
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$14.72
US strikes Yemen before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.96
Israel strikes Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.48
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT5259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$6.84
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$30.72
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$53.9
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+114.7%+$12.82
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.56
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$24.94
Will Leeds United vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$49.68
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.76
Will Wolves win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$9.82
Will Tottenham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$5.76
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$51.36
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will Chelsea vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.62
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.08
Will Newcastle vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$5.88
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16.4
Will Fulham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.25
Will Fulham win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$9.57
Will Everton win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.84
Will Everton vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.5
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT4465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.12
Will Villarreal win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$13.26
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+52.5%+$14.45
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$80.52
Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.48
Will Espanyol vs. Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.56
Will Osasuna win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+37%+$6.21
Will Real Betis vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$8.68
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$14.96
Will Girona win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$36.9
Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$40.85
Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$8.12
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$56
Will Valencia win on 2025-08-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Valencia vs. Getafe end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Will Getafe win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$17.2
Will Sevilla vs. Getafe end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will Athletic Club vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.46
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.66
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$21.93
Will Villarreal win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.91
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST2931%9 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$21.86
Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$64.05
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+42.2%+$89.07
Will Elon Musk tweet more August 22 than day before?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$49.35
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.91
Will Elon tweet 270–284 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.24
Will Elon Musk tweet more August 18 than day before?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.28
Will Elon Musk tweet more August 17 than day before?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$53.9
Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$15.71
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.04
Will Elon tweet 440–454 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will Elon Musk tweet more August 14 than day before?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.24
Will Elon tweet 300–329 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.44
Will Elon tweet 230–244 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.76
Will Elon tweet 215–229 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.46
Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+32.3%+$100.08
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.61
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.87
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.83
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.7
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+101.4%+$113.2
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$33.82
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.95
UFC Fight Night: Will Hernandez win by decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$12.88
UFC Fight Night: Will Hernandez win by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.42
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$401.81
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheebacked McGhee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. Barriaultbacked Barriault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.21
UFC Fight Night: Almabayev vs. Ochoabacked Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$96.07
UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. Guskovbacked Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$110.67
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+69.8%+$100.14
UFC Fight Night: Salikhov vs. Lealbacked Salikhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+400%+$160
UFC Fight Night: Grant vs. Blackshearbacked Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+241.9%+$47.16
UFC Fight Night: Aslan vs. Elekanabacked Aslan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.1
UFC Fight Night: Yahya vs. Nguyenbacked Yahya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Buday vs. Buchechabacked Buchecha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.91
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.98
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylovbacked Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+187.6%+$57.77
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+525%+$157.5
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull backed Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuberbacked Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$122.85
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen backed Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
UFC 318: Prado vs. Veretennikovbacked Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Machado Garry vs. Pratesbacked Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$11.7
All 23 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$12.16
Will 1. FC Köln vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$6.76
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.8
Will 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$5.76
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-08-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Will FC St. Pauli vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$23.85
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+100.2%+$56.05
Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.44
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46.92
Will Union Berlin vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.68
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.46
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$10.15
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.82
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$91.14
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.4
Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.68
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$15.17
Will Lille OSC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5.75
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$27.3
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Paris FC win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$11.88
Will Angers SCO vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.52
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$10.44
Will AJ Auxerre vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.06
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.94
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.14
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.32
Will FC Metz vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.25
Will FC Metz win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.64
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.68
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$38.95
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$9.45
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$11.7
50% India tariff in effect by August 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.44
Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+160.5%+$33.09
Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.75
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+62%+$13.78
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.95
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.94
Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+90.2%+$11.38
Will Trump mention "South Park" by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+1,763.4%+$210.09
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.2
Trump cabinet member out before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$4.3
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June  22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US military action against Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+38.8%+$32.85
US military action against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.28
Will AS Roma win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.45
Will Napoli win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.68
Will Pisa SC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.28
Will Parma vs. Atalanta end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.28
Will AC Milan win on 2025-08-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Lecce vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.72
Will Verona win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.67
Will Udinese win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$49.35
Will Juventus win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+50.5%+$27.06
Will Como win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.24
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$37.31
Will AC Milan win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$119
Will Bologna win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.25
Will AS Roma win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.06
Will Lecce win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.83
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3.08
Will Genoa win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$49.35
Will Napoli win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.07
All 19 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$3.92
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.91
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$25.31
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.87
Will Solana dip to $150 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.72
Will Solana dip to $155 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+45.5%+$10.01
Will XRP dip to $2.60 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+43.7%+$11.56
Will XRP dip to $2.50 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$11.85
Will XRP dip to $2.70 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$44.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.13
Will Solana reach $210 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.11
Ethereum all time high by August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.86
Ethereum all time high by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.12
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.47
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+25%+$40
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$63
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$18.26
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.96
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$58.88
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.98
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$21.96
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Siversk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.17
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.43
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$6.68
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$5.58
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.48
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+54.3%+$32.02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.68
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+98%+$46.04
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+173.3%+$26
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$218.56
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$68.71
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$32.27
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$299.15
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.17
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.91
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$80.42
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville Cardinals vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$116
Richmond Spiders vs. Belmont Bruinsbacked Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$142
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+54.9%+$12.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.