La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe win on 2025-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cff733ff968de4be6bd72bfad0157ae7b38e22feafb401b79d14e48eaa9f089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 75c | 15,558$11,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,686.23 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…4237backed Yes | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 4,100$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 25c | 3,888$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.76 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 77c | 3,034$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 23c | 1,915$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.53 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,680$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.81 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 32c | 944.77$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.74 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 66c | 542.05$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 79c | 399.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.99 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Yes | 53c | 374.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 55c | 362.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…8371backed Yes | 78c | 350$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 260.35$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…da8abacked No | 79c | 253.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 48c | 249.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 48c | 236$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 23c | 199.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b4…786dbacked Yes | 53c | 189.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked No | 77c | 185$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 19c | 164.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 64c | 156.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Yes | 67c | 150.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 38c | 149.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 75c | 133.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed No | 52c | 132.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 130.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 76c | 130$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a62…ab67backed No | 77c | 99.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 54c | 91.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 25c | 68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed No | 79c | 60.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 21c | 60.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…fddebacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…c311backed No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de9…3171backed Yes | 76c | 56.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 70c | 56.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 52c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…77c4backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…98f1backed Yes | 23c | 44.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Yes | 54c | 41.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…304ebacked Yes | 24c | 40.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +309.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 56c | 35.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f7…e22cbacked Yes | 66c | 31.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…a0e4backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 76c | 27.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…a384backed Yes | 72c | 22.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…5d11backed Yes | 76c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe win on 2025-08-25?this page
- Will Sevilla vs. Getafe end in a draw?No won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.