TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93fc…a0e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$29.83
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+48.8%+$32.09
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$27.26
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Braves vs. Marlinsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.89
Reds vs. Diamondbacksbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.21
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.18
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+169.2%+$183.29
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$312.77
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+156.5%+$37.43
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.32
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+119.8%+$233.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-82.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.49
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.51
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$214.19
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.68
Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.89
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$36.08
Will Elon tweet 440–454 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.31
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Osasuna win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$10.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Everton win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$13.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Syria strikes Israel by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$11.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark be the first round leader at the 2025 Wyndham Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.