TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,746,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,836,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,746,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0764…e01fbacked Yes43c594,756$254,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339,993.741643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No53c303,411$162,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162,008.610357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No56c172,259$96,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,436.934153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…4908backed No58c126,268$73,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,032.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes49c101,014$49,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,973.5714544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes48c100,265$48,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,241.816357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No54c59,982$32,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,340.153050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25a7…2f87backed Yes42c47,609$19,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,613.251546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No56c45,740$25,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,706.272941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No56c40,082$22,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,445.9913829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No51c40,000$20,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,50030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No54c37,512$20,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,339.6917958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x120e…5986backed Yes45c35,743$16,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,658.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No57c32,867$18,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,734.081250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No53c30,000$15,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,799.872853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No57c23,777$13,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,552.894045%18 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No46c21,092$9,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,663.779639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes44c20,455$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,454.559636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,2009646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No56c18,590$10,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,410.4420140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No54c16,102$8,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,694.026450%32 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes45c14,925$6,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,208.6417234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed No55c14,617$8,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,039.091729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No54c13,583$7,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,37024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ff1…2890backed Yes49c12,000$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,120250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No37c11,947$4,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,401.4556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes45c11,103$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,106.7618948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No56c10,800$6,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,055.9822744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No52c9,788$5,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,105.2740046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No53c9,746$5,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,120.6379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed No57c9,500$5,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,415333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes44c9,206$4,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,116.9628070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes45c9,051$4,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,978.117732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No57c8,727$4,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,965.9524566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Yes48c7,718$3,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,038.821266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes43c7,650$3,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,392.5236954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8e92…f606backed Yes49c6,423$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No51c6,121$3,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,127.016860.3%41 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes42c6,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,48035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes44c5,682$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.8210848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No57c5,500$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,13515949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes46c5,067$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.533948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes62c4,580$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.58728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No51c4,564$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.5722050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c4,495$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,464.4883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x297e…0bf9backed Yes44c4,484$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511.17475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+81.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Yes49c4,192$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.034042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes50c4,130$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.6569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Yes49c4,084$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.651963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No27c4,008$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.0567042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No3c3,771$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9513727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes44c3,318$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.1820447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No2c3,317$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9819743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes33c3,309$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.8930666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xb6c0…a417backed Yes45c3,297$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No52c3,244$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6742520%5 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-43%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No12c3,153$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9734251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07c8…e891backed No55c3,110$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.311241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+297%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes45c3,050$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes44c2,794$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.7932037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No51c2,600$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32637054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes44c2,557$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.078045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes43c2,511$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.5211937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No54c2,491$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.449849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes44c2,477$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.274447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No61c2,418$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.611040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No52c2,297$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.2349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes45c2,220$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2212548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Yes48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.331346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6227…18dabacked Yes45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005232.7%17 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb84…fc70backed Yes44c1,971$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No55c1,957$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.5621353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No12c1,927$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.277139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed No54c1,885$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.082860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66c1…c518backed No55c1,858$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x844a…f6d7backed No52c1,852$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes45c1,789$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.8911346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed No52c1,688$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8781637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No53c1,659$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.1890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed No56c1,586$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8881643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes37c1,548$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9751,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No62c1,509$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.485752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2715…a376backed Yes45c1,508$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x141e…8c87backed Yes46c1,501$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes43c1,400$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7989858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5df…fed4backed Yes46c1,400$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.491540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Yes44c1,364$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.643076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf97…beb5backed Yes58c1,319$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.931127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick60cpaid-56.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes49c1,257$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.9711946.2%55 W · 64 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes45c1,210$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.577236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed No55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6603652.8%19 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+269.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…2e0dbacked No55c1,163$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3b…4253backed No4c1,158$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.32166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3611342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes45c1,113$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.3932736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4129044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No53c1,008$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.597448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes44c1,006$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.065944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No52c1,002$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.811750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.