Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dcaa06cd75939028abd0f8af242bd9c4bebe0c3510a6fdb0bcf69a2eb0ecc55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed No | 71c | 58,175$41,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,093.49 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Yes | 29c | 31,131$8,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,965.56 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 3c | 13,134$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 30c | 11,225$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.32 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 28c | 10,134$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.58 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 25c | 9,385$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.82 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 71c | 9,100$6,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 29c | 9,000$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.09 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked No | 74c | 8,821$6,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.35 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 26c | 8,358$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.2 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 32c | 7,813$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 28c | 5,714$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 26c | 4,935$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.21 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…51c8backed No | 70c | 4,245$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 29c | 4,241$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.12 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 29c | 3,785$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.31 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Yes | 28c | 3,555$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 1c | 2,765$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 30c | 2,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 72c | 2,512$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.23 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 69c | 2,222$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.71 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 79c | 2,031$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.94 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,950$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.48 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…e71dbacked No | 70c | 1,626$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,600$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 30c | 1,472$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 70c | 1,370$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.26 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 28c | 1,348$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.6 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,252$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 10c | 1,249$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 29c | 1,210$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 2c | 1,082$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 9c | 1,068$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 30c | 1,005$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.33 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 71c | 999$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.71 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 28c | 991$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.8 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…b564backed No | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 814$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 774.01$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.54 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 29c | 694.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes | 33c | 610$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 29c | 561.4$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.42 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…4b33backed Yes | 5c | 506$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 68c | 478.6$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.15 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 21c | 472$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Yes | 28c | 471.86$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed No | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…819ebacked No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 70c | 399.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 68c | 394$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…23ebbacked Yes | 9c | 330.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed Yes | 15c | 305$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 73c | 300$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed Yes | 28c | 299.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 69c | 299.97$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 30c | 279$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 11c | 274.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11df…731fbacked Yes | 9c | 250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 26c | 238$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 11c | 228.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 71c | 225.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…a732backed Yes | 5c | 223.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…894bbacked Yes | 31c | 196.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 28c | 183.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…3931backed Yes | 11c | 182.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 80c | 174.27$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…c98dbacked No | 70c | 170.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…d798backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 72c | 162$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 28c | 157.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 72c | 149.86$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 132$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…d383backed No | 72c | 122.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 71c | 114.49$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed No | 73c | 112$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Yes | 16c | 109.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed Yes | 28c | 107.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 27c | 105.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 30c | 104.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 72c | 100.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?Yes won
- Will Newcastle vs. Liverpool end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.